Win and draw probabilities
Every outcome is counted directly from the same matched set of simulated fixtures.
Premier League match predictions for every 2026/27 fixture
Every fixture is priced by HORIZON 6.2 before it is played. Compare home, draw and away probabilities, the modelled score, expected goals, BTTS and over 2.5 goals across 100,000 complete season paths.
FIXTURES COVERED380
SEASON PATHS100,000
UPCOMING ROUNDMW 2
MODELHORIZON 6.2
OPENING WEEKEND
Premier League Matchweek 2 predictions
Open any fixture for the complete probability breakdown, most likely scorelines, uncertainty range and model drivers.
MW 2 · Fri 28 Aug, 20:00
Crystal Palace vs Manchester City
1-4
View full match prediction →MW 2 · Sat 29 Aug, 12:30Strongest outcome: Manchester City win at 100.0%
Liverpool vs Nottingham Forest
2-2
View full match prediction →MW 2 · Sat 29 Aug, 15:00Strongest outcome: Draw at 100.0%
AFC Bournemouth vs Everton
1-1
View full match prediction →MW 2 · Sat 29 Aug, 15:00Strongest outcome: Draw at 100.0%
Coventry City vs Hull City
0-1
View full match prediction →MW 2 · Sat 29 Aug, 17:30Strongest outcome: Hull City win at 100.0%
Tottenham Hotspur vs Newcastle United
1-1
View full match prediction →MW 2 · Sun 30 Aug, 14:00Strongest outcome: Tottenham Hotspur win at 44.0%
Chelsea vs Brighton & Hove Albion
1-1
View full match prediction →MW 2 · Sun 30 Aug, 14:00Strongest outcome: Chelsea win at 56.3%
Leeds United vs Brentford
1-1
View full match prediction →MW 2 · Sun 30 Aug, 14:00Strongest outcome: Leeds United win at 40.5%
Sunderland vs Fulham
1-1
View full match prediction →MW 2 · Sun 30 Aug, 16:30Strongest outcome: Sunderland win at 39.8%
Manchester United vs Ipswich Town
1-1
View full match prediction →MW 2 · Mon 31 Aug, 20:00Strongest outcome: Manchester United win at 60.3%
Aston Villa vs Arsenal
1-1
View full match prediction →Strongest outcome: Arsenal win at 44.3%
FULL SEASON
Browse all 38 Premier League matchweeks
Each matchweek page is a dated, crawlable snapshot of all ten fixture predictions in that round.
Matchweek 1Matchweek 2Matchweek 3Matchweek 4Matchweek 5Matchweek 6Matchweek 7Matchweek 8Matchweek 9Matchweek 10Matchweek 11Matchweek 12Matchweek 13Matchweek 14Matchweek 15Matchweek 16Matchweek 17Matchweek 18Matchweek 19Matchweek 20Matchweek 21Matchweek 22Matchweek 23Matchweek 24Matchweek 25Matchweek 26Matchweek 27Matchweek 28Matchweek 29Matchweek 30Matchweek 31Matchweek 32Matchweek 33Matchweek 34Matchweek 35Matchweek 36Matchweek 37Matchweek 38
Exact-score distribution
The modal score sits alongside the next most likely scorelines so a single headline never hides uncertainty.
BTTS and over 2.5
Goal-market probabilities come from the same score matrix as the match result forecast.
Verified changes only
Confirmed results, transfers and availability information can change the model. Rumours cannot.
TEAM FORECASTS
Move from a match into the full season
QUESTIONS ANSWERED
About the Premier League match model
How are the Premier League match predictions calculated?
HORIZON models team attack, defence, venue, sustainable form, confirmed transfers and verified results. It then resolves every remaining fixture across 100,000 complete season paths.
What markets are included for each match?
Every match page includes home, draw and away probabilities, a predicted score, expected goals, both teams to score and over 2.5 goals probabilities.
When do the predictions update?
The forecast updates when verified results, confirmed transfers, official availability information or other material evidence changes the model state.
Are the predictions betting advice?
No. They are probability estimates for analysis and entertainment, not guarantees or betting advice.