Win and draw probabilities
Every outcome is counted directly from the same matched set of simulated fixtures.
Premier League match predictions for every 2026/27 fixture
Every fixture is priced by HORIZON 6.2 before it is played. Compare home, draw and away probabilities, the modelled score, expected goals, BTTS and over 2.5 goals across 100,000 complete season paths.
FIXTURES COVERED380
SEASON PATHS100,000
UPCOMING ROUNDMW 7
MODELHORIZON 6.2
THIS WEEKEND
Premier League Matchweek 7 predictions
Open any fixture for the complete probability breakdown, most likely scorelines, uncertainty range and model drivers.
MW 7 · Sun 18 Oct, 14:00
AFC Bournemouth vs Sunderland
1-1
View full match prediction →MW 7 · Sat 17 Oct, 15:00Strongest outcome: AFC Bournemouth win at 57.9%
Brentford vs Liverpool
1-1
View full match prediction →MW 7 · Sun 18 Oct, 14:00Strongest outcome: Brentford win at 41.2%
Brighton & Hove Albion vs Crystal Palace
1-1
View full match prediction →MW 7 · Sat 17 Oct, 12:30Strongest outcome: Brighton & Hove Albion win at 52.3%
Everton vs Chelsea
1-1
View full match prediction →MW 7 · Sat 17 Oct, 15:00Strongest outcome: Everton win at 36.7%
Fulham vs Hull City
1-1
View full match prediction →MW 7 · Sun 18 Oct, 14:00Strongest outcome: Fulham win at 54.8%
Leeds United vs Manchester United
1-1
View full match prediction →MW 7 · Sat 17 Oct, 15:00Strongest outcome: Manchester United win at 36.4%
Manchester City vs Ipswich Town
2-0
View full match prediction →MW 7 · Sat 17 Oct, 17:30Strongest outcome: Manchester City win at 71.9%
Newcastle United vs Aston Villa
1-1
View full match prediction →MW 7 · Sun 18 Oct, 16:30Strongest outcome: Newcastle United win at 42.9%
Nottingham Forest vs Arsenal
1-1
View full match prediction →MW 7 · Mon 19 Oct, 20:00Strongest outcome: Arsenal win at 46.1%
Tottenham Hotspur vs Coventry City
1-1
View full match prediction →Strongest outcome: Tottenham Hotspur win at 59.6%
FULL SEASON
Browse all 38 Premier League matchweeks
Each matchweek page is a dated, crawlable snapshot of all ten fixture predictions in that round.
Matchweek 1Matchweek 2Matchweek 3Matchweek 4Matchweek 5Matchweek 6Matchweek 7Matchweek 8Matchweek 9Matchweek 10Matchweek 11Matchweek 12Matchweek 13Matchweek 14Matchweek 15Matchweek 16Matchweek 17Matchweek 18Matchweek 19Matchweek 20Matchweek 21Matchweek 22Matchweek 23Matchweek 24Matchweek 25Matchweek 26Matchweek 27Matchweek 28Matchweek 29Matchweek 30Matchweek 31Matchweek 32Matchweek 33Matchweek 34Matchweek 35Matchweek 36Matchweek 37Matchweek 38
Exact-score distribution
The modal score sits alongside the next most likely scorelines so a single headline never hides uncertainty.
BTTS and over 2.5
Goal-market probabilities come from the same score matrix as the match result forecast.
Verified changes only
Confirmed results, transfers and availability information can change the model. Rumours cannot.
TEAM FORECASTS
Move from a match into the full season
QUESTIONS ANSWERED
About the Premier League match model
How are the Premier League match predictions calculated?
HORIZON models team attack, defence, venue, sustainable form, confirmed transfers and verified results. It then resolves every remaining fixture across 100,000 complete season paths.
What markets are included for each match?
Every match page includes home, draw and away probabilities, a predicted score, expected goals, both teams to score and over 2.5 goals probabilities.
When do the predictions update?
The forecast updates when verified results, confirmed transfers, official availability information or other material evidence changes the model state.
Are the predictions betting advice?
No. They are probability estimates for analysis and entertainment, not guarantees or betting advice.
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Create your account, then optionally save a Premier League club to a personalised dashboard with its projected finish, projected points and major season probabilities. The live forecast remains free to explore.
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