Ipswich Town 2026/27 Premier League prediction
Ipswich Town currently project to finish 13th on 47.6 points. This page exposes the probability range, form signal, transfer effect and next fixture prices behind that headline.
IPS
CURRENT MEAN FINISH13th
PROJECTED POINTS47.6
90% RANGE34 to 61
Promoted prior
No unadjusted Championship form is copied into the Premier League baseline. A league-strength-adjusted promoted prior is used instead.
+0.233 strength signal
16 arrivals and 21 departures are tracked. 13 carry a first-team model weight.
3rd hardest
Remaining schedule index 102, labelled hard after opponent strength and venue are combined.
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Every probability is tied to this versioned input state and 100,000 season paths.
NEXT FIVE LEAGUE FIXTURES
Ipswich match probabilities
H 72%D 17%A 11%
Modal score 2-0Full match prediction →H 43%D 27%A 30%
Modal score 1-1Full match prediction →H 39%D 26%A 34%
Modal score 1-1Full match prediction →H 43%D 26%A 32%
Modal score 1-1Full match prediction →H 52%D 24%A 24%
Modal score 1-1Full match prediction →CONFIRMED WINDOW
Ipswich transfer ledger
Rumours are excluded. This table contains confirmed movement only.
Chelsea → Ipswich Town
ledger onlyFulham → Ipswich Town
model assessedFulham → Ipswich Town
model assessedBurnley → Ipswich Town
model assessedStrasbourg → Ipswich Town
model assessedStrasbourg → Ipswich Town
model assessedBurnley → Ipswich Town
model assessedUnion Saint-Gilloise → Ipswich Town
model assessedCeltic → Ipswich Town
model assessedToulouse → Ipswich Town
model assessedLeicester City → Ipswich Town
model assessedAjax → Ipswich Town
model assessedVolendam → Ipswich Town
ledger onlyReims → Ipswich Town
ledger onlyManchester City → Ipswich Town
ledger onlyChelsea → Ipswich Town
ledger onlyIPS PROBABILITY DESK
Latest Ipswich model analysis
Verified results, confirmed transfers and clearly labelled counterfactuals connected to Ipswich Town.
result
Crystal Palace 2-3 Ipswich: Premier League model impact
Ipswich's late away win moves them from 19th to 14th, adds 4.2 projected points and cuts their relegation probability by 15.37 percentage points.
result
Ipswich 0-2 Liverpool: Premier League model impact
Isak's early double lifts Liverpool's title probability to 8.30% and raises Ipswich's relegation risk to 32.73%.
result
Manchester United 5-2 Ipswich: Premier League model impact
The five-goal win applied to United's top-four outlook and Ipswich's survival probability.
confirmed transfer
Liam Delap joins Nottingham Forest: model impact
The confirmed transfer applied to Nottingham Forest's projected points and season outcome probabilities.
confirmed transfer
Julio Enciso to Ipswich: confirmed model impact
The confirmed arrival measured across Ipswich's projected points and survival probability.
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