The latest signal from 100,000 season paths
This public briefing is generated only from the published HORIZON 6.2 artifact. It never treats an unconfirmed transfer report or an unverified bookmaker quote as a model input.
Bodø/Glimt 1-0 Dortmund: top-eight hopes take a hit
Dortmund top eight: 50.98% → 25.21% After seven late finals; same official draw and 100,000 matched paths.
Inspect the evidence →Current Premier League leaders
Mean points and finish probabilities come directly from the persisted forecast artifact.
| Club | Mean points | Title | Top four |
|---|---|---|---|
| Manchester City | 79.5 | 68.8% | 98.6% |
| Arsenal | 73.3 | 25.4% | 92.8% |
| Brighton & Hove Albion | 60.6 | 1.9% | 43.6% |
| Liverpool | 59.9 | 1.3% | 38.3% |
| Chelsea | 59.1 | 1.2% | 34.5% |
Current top-goalscorer probabilities
These are model probabilities, not bookmaker prices or guarantees.
| Player | Club | Expected goals | Win | Top four |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Erling Haaland | Manchester City | 28.6 | 61.9% | 88.1% |
| Igor Thiago | Brentford | 19.3 | 12.3% | 49.6% |
| Alexander Isak | Liverpool | 16.3 | 5.8% | 30.8% |
| João Pedro | Chelsea | 14.8 | 2.6% | 21.2% |
| Yoane Wissa | Newcastle United | 13.7 | 1.8% | 15.7% |
Move from the briefing into every competition.
Inspect fixtures, tables, probability maps, run-ins and scenarios across the English pyramid, Europe and UEFA club competitions.
Open all competitions →Follow your club, not a generic feed
Create your account, then optionally save a Premier League club to a personalised dashboard with its projected finish, projected points and major season probabilities. The live forecast remains free to explore.
- Saved club dashboard
- Live probability view
- Member referral rewards