Verify before changing the model
Official competition and club records are the primary sources for results, schedules, transfers and confirmed availability. Reputable reporting can guide discovery, but it cannot silently enter the live forecast.
About the Model Desk
The Football Simulator is published by an independent probability desk. The Model Desk is the institutional byline for the people, software and verification workflow responsible for each forecast. It is not a fictional named analyst.
PUBLISHERMODEL DESK
CORE MODELHORIZON 6.2
SEASON PATHS100,000
CORRECTIONSOPEN
WHAT THE BYLINE MEANS
One accountable publishing workflow
Data collection, simulation and routine checks use software, while publication rules control which evidence may change the live model. The Model Desk byline identifies that combined process consistently across predictions, research notes and transfer analysis.
Keep assumptions visible
Every published forecast carries a dated model state. Counterfactuals remain separate from the core forecast, important assumptions are stated, and matched seeds isolate the effect being analysed.
Make claims traceable
Analysis pages link to their evidence, distinguish probabilities from guarantees, and keep forecast outputs separate from bookmaker prices. The public methodology explains how the numbers are produced.
Correct the source claim
If a figure, attribution or factual statement is wrong, the page and any newly published social item are corrected promptly. Readers can report an issue directly to the publisher.
INDEPENDENCE
Forecast first, market comparison second
Bookmaker prices do not train or move the sporting forecast. They are compared with model probabilities only after a forecast is published. Commercial access never changes the result of a model run, the evidence threshold or the corrections policy.
Questions or corrections: support@thefootballsimulator.com. Include the page address, the exact claim and a supporting source so the Model Desk can verify it quickly.
Read the full editorial standards →FREE ACCOUNT · NO CARD REQUIRED
Follow your club, not a generic feed
Choose your Premier League club and save it to a personalised dashboard with its projected finish, projected points and major season probabilities. The live forecast remains free to explore.
- Saved club dashboard
- Live probability view
- Member referral rewards