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THE PROBABILITY DESK · SATURDAY, 29 AUGUST 2026

Football predictions today

54 verified-schedule fixtures are listed across 8 competitions today. The highest single 1X2 probability is Olympique Lyonnais win at 74.0%; it is an estimate, not a guarantee.

VERIFIED FIXTURES54
COMPETITIONS8
CONFIRMED 3PM0
MODEL PATHS100,000
EVERY SUPPORTED COMPETITION

Saturday, 29 August 2026 football predictions

Probabilities are generated independently of bookmaker prices. Fair odds are the decimal inverse of the model probability and do not include a safety margin. 37 listed kick-off times are provisional.

Kick-offFixtureHomeDrawAwayLikely scorexGStrongestFair odds
12:30time provisionalDerby County vs Swansea CityEFL Championship45.4%26.2%28.3%1-112.5%1.45-1.09Home45.4%2.20 · 3.81 · 3.53
12:30time provisionalMiddlesbrough vs West Bromwich AlbionEFL Championship49.8%25.5%24.7%1-112.1%1.55-1.01Home49.8%2.01 · 3.93 · 4.05
12:30time provisionalWolverhampton Wanderers vs Stoke CityEFL Championship57.0%24.0%19.0%1-013.2%1.69-0.86Home57.0%1.75 · 4.17 · 5.26
15:00time provisionalBlackburn Rovers vs Queens Park RangersEFL Championship49.1%25.8%25.1%1-112.2%1.51-1.00Home49.1%2.04 · 3.87 · 3.99
15:00time provisionalBolton Wanderers vs Lincoln CityEFL Championship36.4%26.6%36.9%1-112.7%1.27-1.28Away36.9%2.74 · 3.75 · 2.71
15:00time provisionalBristol City vs PortsmouthEFL Championship41.7%26.6%31.7%1-112.6%1.37-1.16Home41.7%2.40 · 3.76 · 3.16
15:00time provisionalCardiff City vs Sheffield UnitedEFL Championship40.4%26.2%33.3%1-112.5%1.38-1.23Home40.4%2.47 · 3.81 · 3.00
15:00time provisionalCharlton Athletic vs Preston North EndEFL Championship44.5%26.7%28.9%1-112.6%1.40-1.07Home44.5%2.25 · 3.75 · 3.47
15:00time provisionalNorwich City vs BurnleyEFL Championship49.1%25.2%25.7%1-112.0%1.57-1.06Home49.1%2.04 · 3.97 · 3.89
15:00time provisionalSouthampton vs MillwallEFL Championship46.1%26.0%27.9%1-112.4%1.47-1.09Home46.1%2.17 · 3.85 · 3.59
15:00time provisionalWatford vs West Ham UnitedEFL Championship22.9%24.7%52.4%0-112.0%0.98-1.63Away52.4%4.37 · 4.04 · 1.91
Kick-offFixtureHomeDrawAwayLikely scorexGStrongestFair odds
12:30time provisionalBlackpool vs Peterborough UnitedEFL League One57.1%21.8%21.1%1-010.5%1.85-1.03Home57.1%1.75 · 4.59 · 4.75
12:30time provisionalMK Dons vs Leicester CityEFL League One40.6%25.0%34.3%1-111.9%1.40-1.26Home40.6%2.46 · 3.99 · 2.91
15:00time provisionalCambridge United vs Huddersfield TownEFL League One38.0%25.6%36.5%1-112.2%1.31-1.27Home38.0%2.63 · 3.91 · 2.74
15:00time provisionalLeyton Orient vs BarnsleyEFL League One43.4%24.5%32.1%1-111.6%1.49-1.24Home43.4%2.30 · 4.08 · 3.12
15:00time provisionalNotts County vs Burton AlbionEFL League One48.0%24.6%27.4%1-111.7%1.54-1.09Home48.0%2.08 · 4.07 · 3.65
15:00time provisionalPlymouth Argyle vs Bradford CityEFL League One53.0%23.4%23.6%1-011.3%1.68-1.04Home53.0%1.89 · 4.28 · 4.23
15:00time provisionalSheffield Wednesday vs BromleyEFL League One44.5%25.1%30.4%1-111.9%1.45-1.15Home44.5%2.25 · 3.98 · 3.29
15:00time provisionalStevenage vs Doncaster RoversEFL League One47.6%25.5%26.9%1-012.5%1.45-1.02Home47.6%2.10 · 3.92 · 3.72
15:00time provisionalStockport County vs Wycombe WanderersEFL League One52.8%23.5%23.7%1-011.4%1.66-1.03Home52.8%1.89 · 4.25 · 4.22
Kick-offFixtureHomeDrawAwayLikely scorexGStrongestFair odds
12:30time provisionalBarnet vs Cheltenham TownEFL League Two67.1%19.3%13.6%2-011.6%2.13-0.84Home67.1%1.49 · 5.17 · 7.37
12:30time provisionalPort Vale vs Crewe AlexandraEFL League Two46.6%26.1%27.3%1-112.4%1.47-1.06Home46.6%2.15 · 3.82 · 3.67
13:00time provisionalRotherham United vs ChesterfieldEFL League Two28.3%25.4%46.2%1-112.1%1.14-1.53Away46.2%3.53 · 3.93 · 2.16
15:00time provisionalColchester United vs RochdaleEFL League Two35.5%27.1%37.4%1-112.9%1.23-1.27Away37.4%2.82 · 3.69 · 2.68
15:00time provisionalCrawley Town vs Bristol RoversEFL League Two24.7%24.7%50.6%1-111.8%1.06-1.63Away50.6%4.05 · 4.05 · 1.98
15:00time provisionalGillingham vs Northampton TownEFL League Two36.1%27.6%36.3%1-113.0%1.21-1.21Away36.3%2.77 · 3.62 · 2.75
15:00time provisionalGrimsby Town vs Fleetwood TownEFL League Two53.8%24.1%22.1%1-011.5%1.70-1.00Home53.8%1.86 · 4.15 · 4.52
15:00time provisionalNewport County vs Tranmere RoversEFL League Two47.8%25.3%26.9%1-112.0%1.56-1.10Home47.8%2.09 · 3.95 · 3.72
15:00time provisionalOldham Athletic vs Swindon TownEFL League Two46.5%25.6%27.9%1-112.2%1.52-1.12Home46.5%2.15 · 3.91 · 3.58
15:00time provisionalShrewsbury Town vs Salford CityEFL League Two22.2%24.8%53.0%0-112.2%0.96-1.63Away53.0%4.51 · 4.03 · 1.89
15:00time provisionalWalsall vs Accrington StanleyEFL League Two52.7%24.5%22.8%1-111.7%1.66-1.00Home52.7%1.90 · 4.08 · 4.39
15:00time provisionalYork City vs Exeter CityEFL League Two49.2%25.2%25.5%1-112.0%1.58-1.06Home49.2%2.03 · 3.97 · 3.92
Kick-offFixtureHomeDrawAwayLikely scorexGStrongestFair odds
12:30confirmed scheduleLiverpool vs Nottingham ForestPremier LeagueFinal score: 2-2Completed result. Pre-match prices are not reconstructed.
15:00confirmed scheduleAFC Bournemouth vs EvertonPremier LeagueFinal score: 1-1Completed result. Pre-match prices are not reconstructed.
15:00confirmed scheduleCoventry City vs Hull CityPremier LeagueFinal score: 0-1Completed result. Pre-match prices are not reconstructed.
17:30confirmed scheduleTottenham Hotspur vs Newcastle UnitedPremier League44.0%24.1%31.9%1-110.5%1.83-1.54Home44.0%2.27 · 4.15 · 3.13
Kick-offFixtureHomeDrawAwayLikely scorexGStrongestFair odds
14:30verified result1. FC Köln vs TSG HoffenheimBundesligaFinal score: 3-2Completed result. Pre-match prices are not reconstructed.
14:30verified result1. FC Union Berlin vs Eintracht FrankfurtBundesligaFinal score: 3-3Completed result. Pre-match prices are not reconstructed.
14:30verified result1. FSV Mainz 05 vs SC Paderborn 07BundesligaFinal score: 0-0Completed result. Pre-match prices are not reconstructed.
14:30verified resultRB Leipzig vs Borussia MönchengladbachBundesligaFinal score: 3-0Completed result. Pre-match prices are not reconstructed.
14:30verified resultSV Elversberg vs Bayer 04 LeverkusenBundesligaFinal score: 3-2Completed result. Pre-match prices are not reconstructed.
17:30confirmed scheduleBorussia Dortmund vs Hamburger SVBundesliga68.2%18.0%13.7%2-19.3%2.52-1.05Home68.2%1.47 · 5.54 · 7.29
Kick-offFixtureHomeDrawAwayLikely scorexGStrongestFair odds
16:00confirmed scheduleLevante UD vs Real BetisLa Liga21.2%23.5%55.3%0-111.4%0.99-1.75Away55.3%4.72 · 4.25 · 1.81
18:00confirmed scheduleReal Sociedad vs RCD Espanyol de BarcelonaLa Liga50.7%25.0%24.3%1-111.9%1.60-1.02Home50.7%1.97 · 4.00 · 4.12
20:30confirmed scheduleSevilla FC vs Atlético de MadridLa Liga29.4%25.6%45.0%1-112.2%1.16-1.50Away45.0%3.40 · 3.91 · 2.22
Kick-offFixtureHomeDrawAwayLikely scorexGStrongestFair odds
16:15time provisionalRC Strasbourg Alsace vs RC LensLigue 136.5%24.7%38.8%1-111.7%1.36-1.41Away38.8%2.74 · 4.05 · 2.58
19:45time provisionalAJ Auxerre vs Angers SCOLigue 160.5%21.4%18.1%1-011.3%1.90-0.93Home60.5%1.65 · 4.68 · 5.52
19:45time provisionalFC Lorient vs Estac TroyesLigue 150.0%23.1%27.0%1-110.8%1.73-1.21Home50.0%2.00 · 4.34 · 3.71
19:45time provisionalOlympique Lyonnais vs Havre Athletic ClubLigue 174.0%15.5%10.5%2-011.3%2.49-0.83Home74.0%1.35 · 6.46 · 9.52
19:45time provisionalStade Brestois 29 vs Toulouse FCLigue 135.9%24.6%39.5%1-111.6%1.36-1.44Away39.5%2.79 · 4.07 · 2.53
Kick-offFixtureHomeDrawAwayLikely scorexGStrongestFair odds
17:30confirmed scheduleFiorentina vs FrosinoneSerie A48.7%25.7%25.6%1-112.2%1.57-1.07Home48.7%2.05 · 3.89 · 3.90
17:30confirmed scheduleMonza vs UdineseSerie A35.6%27.4%37.0%1-113.0%1.24-1.27Away37.0%2.81 · 3.65 · 2.70
17:30confirmed scheduleSassuolo vs TorinoSerie A41.9%26.7%31.4%1-112.7%1.41-1.19Home41.9%2.39 · 3.75 · 3.18
19:45confirmed scheduleJuventus vs ParmaSerie A60.3%23.3%16.5%1-013.2%1.79-0.81Home60.3%1.66 · 4.30 · 6.07
DIRECT ANSWER

Probabilities, not picks

Every outcome is expressed as a chance. The largest chance can still lose.

FRESHNESS

Dated evidence

Fixture status, model version and update date are published beside the board.

SEPARATION

No odds in the model

Bookmaker prices never change the core sporting forecast.

PROVENANCE

No synthetic fixtures

Model-draw and format-only UEFA pairings are excluded from daily listings.