Who will win today?
Brighton & Hove Albion win has the highest published 1X2 probability on this board at 74.4%. That is an estimate, not a guaranteed winner.
37 active verified-schedule fixtures are listed across 3 competitions today. The highest single 1X2 probability is Brighton & Hove Albion win at 74.4%; it is an estimate, not a guarantee.
Probabilities are generated independently of bookmaker prices. Fair odds are the decimal inverse of the model probability and do not include a safety margin. 1 listed kick-off times are provisional.
| Kick-off | Fixture | Home | Draw | Away | Likely score | xG | Strongest | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17:45confirmed schedule | CSKA Sofia vs MonacoUEFA Conference League | 19.3% | 21.5% | 59.2% | 1-110.0% | 1.06-2.01 | Away59.2% | 5.18 · 4.65 · 1.69 |
| 17:45confirmed schedule | Egnatia vs MidtjyllandUEFA Conference League | 26.3% | 24.5% | 49.1% | 1-111.6% | 1.16-1.67 | Away49.1% | 3.80 · 4.08 · 2.03 |
| 17:45confirmed schedule | Gent vs AarhusUEFA Conference League | 55.8% | 22.9% | 21.3% | 1-110.8% | 1.86-1.06 | Home55.8% | 1.79 · 4.37 · 4.69 |
| 17:45confirmed schedule | Hajduk Split vs AjaxUEFA Conference League | 21.9% | 23.0% | 55.0% | 1-110.8% | 1.08-1.85 | Away55.0% | 4.56 · 4.34 · 1.82 |
| 17:45confirmed schedule | KuPS Kuopio vs TrabzonsporUEFA Conference League | 18.3% | 21.4% | 60.3% | 1-110.1% | 1.01-2.01 | Away60.3% | 5.46 · 4.66 · 1.66 |
| 17:45confirmed schedule | Lugano vs Crvena ZvezdaUEFA Conference League | 39.1% | 25.7% | 35.3% | 1-112.1% | 1.44-1.35 | Home39.1% | 2.56 · 3.90 · 2.83 |
| 17:45confirmed schedule | Mjällby vs Inter Club d'EscaldesUEFA Conference League | 45.1% | 25.2% | 29.8% | 1-111.9% | 1.57-1.23 | Home45.1% | 2.22 · 3.97 · 3.36 |
| 17:45confirmed schedule | Panathinaikos vs BoracUEFA Conference League | 72.0% | 17.2% | 10.8% | 2-011.8% | 2.36-0.80 | Home72.0% | 1.39 · 5.83 · 9.23 |
| 17:45confirmed schedule | Riga vs Kairat AlmatyUEFA Conference League | 43.0% | 25.4% | 31.6% | 1-112.0% | 1.53-1.27 | Home43.0% | 2.33 · 3.94 · 3.16 |
| 17:45confirmed schedule | Universitatea Craiova vs GetafeUEFA Conference League | 19.1% | 23.6% | 57.3% | 0-112.2% | 0.91-1.76 | Away57.3% | 5.24 · 4.23 · 1.75 |
| 20:00confirmed schedule | Atalanta vs PafosUEFA Conference League | 73.4% | 16.2% | 10.3% | 2-011.3% | 2.48-0.82 | Home73.4% | 1.36 · 6.16 · 9.67 |
| 20:00confirmed schedule | Brann vs Lincoln Red ImpsUEFA Conference League | 57.2% | 22.6% | 20.2% | 1-110.7% | 1.89-1.03 | Home57.2% | 1.75 · 4.43 · 4.94 |
| 20:00confirmed schedule | Brighton & Hove Albion vs Kauno ŽalgirisUEFA Conference League | 74.4% | 16.0% | 9.7% | 2-011.7% | 2.48-0.78 | Home74.4% | 1.34 · 6.27 · 10.32 |
| 20:00confirmed schedule | Copenhagen vs Sporting BragaUEFA Conference League | 27.7% | 24.4% | 47.9% | 1-111.4% | 1.22-1.68 | Away47.9% | 3.61 · 4.10 · 2.09 |
| 20:00confirmed schedule | Hearts vs NordsjællandUEFA Conference League | 58.7% | 22.4% | 18.9% | 1-010.6% | 1.90-0.98 | Home58.7% | 1.70 · 4.47 · 5.28 |
| 20:00confirmed schedule | Sint-Truidense vs Iberia TbilisiUEFA Conference League | 54.2% | 23.4% | 22.4% | 1-111.0% | 1.81-1.08 | Home54.2% | 1.85 · 4.27 · 4.46 |
| 20:00confirmed schedule | Sport-Club Freiburg vs JablonecUEFA Conference League | 64.2% | 20.3% | 15.5% | 2-010.7% | 2.10-0.92 | Home64.2% | 1.56 · 4.94 · 6.45 |
| 20:00confirmed schedule | Twente vs ThunUEFA Conference League | 73.9% | 16.3% | 9.8% | 2-011.9% | 2.44-0.77 | Home73.9% | 1.35 · 6.14 · 10.16 |
| Kick-off | Fixture | Home | Draw | Away | Likely score | xG | Strongest | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17:45confirmed schedule | AZ Alkmaar vs Hapoel Be'er ShevaUEFA Europa League | 70.3% | 17.8% | 11.9% | 2-011.5% | 2.31-0.83 | Home70.3% | 1.42 · 5.60 · 8.44 |
| 17:45confirmed schedule | Celje vs OmoniaUEFA Europa League | 42.2% | 25.5% | 32.3% | 1-112.0% | 1.51-1.29 | Home42.2% | 2.37 · 3.93 · 3.09 |
| 17:45confirmed schedule | Lech Poznań vs Bayer 04 LeverkusenUEFA Europa League | 16.7% | 20.7% | 62.5% | 0-210.2% | 0.97-2.07 | Away62.5% | 5.98 · 4.82 · 1.60 |
| 17:45confirmed schedule | Olympique Lyonnais vs Crystal PalaceUEFA Europa League | 51.6% | 24.3% | 24.1% | 1-111.5% | 1.70-1.09 | Home51.6% | 1.94 · 4.11 · 4.15 |
| 17:45confirmed schedule | Salzburg vs AC MilanUEFA Europa League | 28.9% | 24.7% | 46.4% | 1-111.6% | 1.24-1.63 | Away46.4% | 3.46 · 4.04 · 2.16 |
| 17:45confirmed schedule | Sparta Prague vs LillestrømUEFA Europa League | 52.4% | 23.8% | 23.8% | 1-111.3% | 1.76-1.11 | Home52.4% | 1.91 · 4.19 · 4.20 |
| 17:45confirmed schedule | Torreense vs SunderlandUEFA Europa League | 18.9% | 22.6% | 58.5% | 0-111.0% | 0.96-1.87 | Away58.5% | 5.30 · 4.42 · 1.71 |
| 17:45confirmed schedule | Union Saint-Gilloise vs Real SociedadUEFA Europa League | 52.6% | 24.3% | 23.1% | 1-111.5% | 1.70-1.04 | Home52.6% | 1.90 · 4.11 · 4.34 |
| 20:00confirmed schedule | AFC Bournemouth vs Sturm GrazUEFA Europa League | 64.5% | 20.1% | 15.3% | 2-010.7% | 2.11-0.92 | Home64.5% | 1.55 · 4.97 · 6.53 |
| 20:00confirmed schedule | Benfica vs CelticUEFA Europa League | 54.3% | 23.2% | 22.6% | 1-110.9% | 1.83-1.10 | Home54.3% | 1.84 · 4.32 · 4.43 |
| 20:00confirmed schedule | Celta de Vigo vs JuventusUEFA Europa League | 24.3% | 24.4% | 51.3% | 1-111.6% | 1.09-1.70 | Away51.3% | 4.11 · 4.10 · 1.95 |
| 20:00confirmed schedule | Ferencváros vs Viktoria PlzeňUEFA Europa League | 48.6% | 24.6% | 26.8% | 1-111.6% | 1.66-1.17 | Home48.6% | 2.06 · 4.06 · 3.73 |
| 20:00confirmed schedule | GNK Dinamo vs AnderlechtUEFA Europa League | 33.2% | 25.4% | 41.4% | 1-112.0% | 1.32-1.50 | Away41.4% | 3.01 · 3.93 · 2.42 |
| 20:00confirmed schedule | Jagiellonia Białystok vs Ararat-ArmeniaUEFA Europa League | 45.8% | 25.1% | 29.1% | 1-111.8% | 1.59-1.22 | Home45.8% | 2.18 · 3.99 · 3.43 |
| 20:00confirmed schedule | NEC Nijmegen vs Levski SofiaUEFA Europa League | 43.2% | 25.4% | 31.5% | 1-112.0% | 1.53-1.27 | Home43.2% | 2.32 · 3.94 · 3.18 |
| 20:00confirmed schedule | Olympique de Marseille vs OlympiacosUEFA Europa League | 44.9% | 25.0% | 30.0% | 1-111.8% | 1.58-1.25 | Home44.9% | 2.23 · 3.99 · 3.33 |
| 20:00confirmed schedule | Stade Rennais FC vs OFI CreteUEFA Europa League | 72.9% | 16.3% | 10.8% | 2-010.8% | 2.50-0.86 | Home72.9% | 1.37 · 6.14 · 9.25 |
| 20:00confirmed schedule | TSG Hoffenheim vs BeşiktaşUEFA Europa League | 43.7% | 25.0% | 31.3% | 1-111.7% | 1.58-1.30 | Home43.7% | 2.29 · 4.00 · 3.20 |
| Kick-off | Fixture | Home | Draw | Away | Likely score | xG | Strongest | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20:00time provisional | Mansfield Town vs Oxford UnitedEFL League One | 47.4% | 24.6% | 28.1% | 1-111.7% | 1.53-1.12 | Home47.4% | 2.11 · 4.07 · 3.56 |
Preview: Brighton & Hove Albion win is the strongest published outcome at 74.4%. Even this outcome can lose.
Brighton & Hove Albion win has the highest published 1X2 probability on this board at 74.4%. That is an estimate, not a guaranteed winner.
Compare home, draw and away probabilities, expected goals and uncertainty rather than treating one pick as certain. The largest probability is not automatically a value bet: the offered price, freshness and model limitations also matter.
Thursday, 15 October 2026 has 37 active fixtures across UEFA Conference League, UEFA Europa League, EFL League One. The board below shows teams, UK kick-off times and fixture status. Postponed and completed matches are labelled separately.
The board includes verified Premier League fixtures when scheduled on this date, alongside supported English and European competitions. Use Premier League fixture predictions for the complete league schedule.
Every outcome is expressed as a chance. The largest chance can still lose.
Fixture status, model version and update date are published beside the board.
Bookmaker prices never change the core sporting forecast.
Model-draw and format-only UEFA pairings are excluded from daily listings.
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