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THE PROBABILITY DESK · THURSDAY, 15 OCTOBER 2026

Football predictions today

37 active verified-schedule fixtures are listed across 3 competitions today. The highest single 1X2 probability is Brighton & Hove Albion win at 74.4%; it is an estimate, not a guarantee.

ACTIVE FIXTURES37
COMPETITIONS3
CONFIRMED 3PM0
MODEL PATHS100,000
EVERY SUPPORTED COMPETITION

Thursday, 15 October 2026 football predictions

Probabilities are generated independently of bookmaker prices. Fair odds are the decimal inverse of the model probability and do not include a safety margin. 1 listed kick-off times are provisional.

UEFA Conference League

Full competition forecast →
Kick-offFixtureHomeDrawAwayLikely scorexGStrongestFair odds
17:45confirmed scheduleCSKA Sofia vs MonacoUEFA Conference League19.3%21.5%59.2%1-110.0%1.06-2.01Away59.2%5.18 · 4.65 · 1.69
17:45confirmed scheduleEgnatia vs MidtjyllandUEFA Conference League26.3%24.5%49.1%1-111.6%1.16-1.67Away49.1%3.80 · 4.08 · 2.03
17:45confirmed scheduleGent vs AarhusUEFA Conference League55.8%22.9%21.3%1-110.8%1.86-1.06Home55.8%1.79 · 4.37 · 4.69
17:45confirmed scheduleHajduk Split vs AjaxUEFA Conference League21.9%23.0%55.0%1-110.8%1.08-1.85Away55.0%4.56 · 4.34 · 1.82
17:45confirmed scheduleKuPS Kuopio vs TrabzonsporUEFA Conference League18.3%21.4%60.3%1-110.1%1.01-2.01Away60.3%5.46 · 4.66 · 1.66
17:45confirmed scheduleLugano vs Crvena ZvezdaUEFA Conference League39.1%25.7%35.3%1-112.1%1.44-1.35Home39.1%2.56 · 3.90 · 2.83
17:45confirmed scheduleMjällby vs Inter Club d'EscaldesUEFA Conference League45.1%25.2%29.8%1-111.9%1.57-1.23Home45.1%2.22 · 3.97 · 3.36
17:45confirmed schedulePanathinaikos vs BoracUEFA Conference League72.0%17.2%10.8%2-011.8%2.36-0.80Home72.0%1.39 · 5.83 · 9.23
17:45confirmed scheduleRiga vs Kairat AlmatyUEFA Conference League43.0%25.4%31.6%1-112.0%1.53-1.27Home43.0%2.33 · 3.94 · 3.16
17:45confirmed scheduleUniversitatea Craiova vs GetafeUEFA Conference League19.1%23.6%57.3%0-112.2%0.91-1.76Away57.3%5.24 · 4.23 · 1.75
20:00confirmed scheduleAtalanta vs PafosUEFA Conference League73.4%16.2%10.3%2-011.3%2.48-0.82Home73.4%1.36 · 6.16 · 9.67
20:00confirmed scheduleBrann vs Lincoln Red ImpsUEFA Conference League57.2%22.6%20.2%1-110.7%1.89-1.03Home57.2%1.75 · 4.43 · 4.94
20:00confirmed scheduleBrighton & Hove Albion vs Kauno ŽalgirisUEFA Conference League74.4%16.0%9.7%2-011.7%2.48-0.78Home74.4%1.34 · 6.27 · 10.32
20:00confirmed scheduleCopenhagen vs Sporting BragaUEFA Conference League27.7%24.4%47.9%1-111.4%1.22-1.68Away47.9%3.61 · 4.10 · 2.09
20:00confirmed scheduleHearts vs NordsjællandUEFA Conference League58.7%22.4%18.9%1-010.6%1.90-0.98Home58.7%1.70 · 4.47 · 5.28
20:00confirmed scheduleSint-Truidense vs Iberia TbilisiUEFA Conference League54.2%23.4%22.4%1-111.0%1.81-1.08Home54.2%1.85 · 4.27 · 4.46
20:00confirmed scheduleSport-Club Freiburg vs JablonecUEFA Conference League64.2%20.3%15.5%2-010.7%2.10-0.92Home64.2%1.56 · 4.94 · 6.45
20:00confirmed scheduleTwente vs ThunUEFA Conference League73.9%16.3%9.8%2-011.9%2.44-0.77Home73.9%1.35 · 6.14 · 10.16
Kick-offFixtureHomeDrawAwayLikely scorexGStrongestFair odds
17:45confirmed scheduleAZ Alkmaar vs Hapoel Be'er ShevaUEFA Europa League70.3%17.8%11.9%2-011.5%2.31-0.83Home70.3%1.42 · 5.60 · 8.44
17:45confirmed scheduleCelje vs OmoniaUEFA Europa League42.2%25.5%32.3%1-112.0%1.51-1.29Home42.2%2.37 · 3.93 · 3.09
17:45confirmed scheduleLech Poznań vs Bayer 04 LeverkusenUEFA Europa League16.7%20.7%62.5%0-210.2%0.97-2.07Away62.5%5.98 · 4.82 · 1.60
17:45confirmed scheduleOlympique Lyonnais vs Crystal PalaceUEFA Europa League51.6%24.3%24.1%1-111.5%1.70-1.09Home51.6%1.94 · 4.11 · 4.15
17:45confirmed scheduleSalzburg vs AC MilanUEFA Europa League28.9%24.7%46.4%1-111.6%1.24-1.63Away46.4%3.46 · 4.04 · 2.16
17:45confirmed scheduleSparta Prague vs LillestrømUEFA Europa League52.4%23.8%23.8%1-111.3%1.76-1.11Home52.4%1.91 · 4.19 · 4.20
17:45confirmed scheduleTorreense vs SunderlandUEFA Europa League18.9%22.6%58.5%0-111.0%0.96-1.87Away58.5%5.30 · 4.42 · 1.71
17:45confirmed scheduleUnion Saint-Gilloise vs Real SociedadUEFA Europa League52.6%24.3%23.1%1-111.5%1.70-1.04Home52.6%1.90 · 4.11 · 4.34
20:00confirmed scheduleAFC Bournemouth vs Sturm GrazUEFA Europa League64.5%20.1%15.3%2-010.7%2.11-0.92Home64.5%1.55 · 4.97 · 6.53
20:00confirmed scheduleBenfica vs CelticUEFA Europa League54.3%23.2%22.6%1-110.9%1.83-1.10Home54.3%1.84 · 4.32 · 4.43
20:00confirmed scheduleCelta de Vigo vs JuventusUEFA Europa League24.3%24.4%51.3%1-111.6%1.09-1.70Away51.3%4.11 · 4.10 · 1.95
20:00confirmed scheduleFerencváros vs Viktoria PlzeňUEFA Europa League48.6%24.6%26.8%1-111.6%1.66-1.17Home48.6%2.06 · 4.06 · 3.73
20:00confirmed scheduleGNK Dinamo vs AnderlechtUEFA Europa League33.2%25.4%41.4%1-112.0%1.32-1.50Away41.4%3.01 · 3.93 · 2.42
20:00confirmed scheduleJagiellonia Białystok vs Ararat-ArmeniaUEFA Europa League45.8%25.1%29.1%1-111.8%1.59-1.22Home45.8%2.18 · 3.99 · 3.43
20:00confirmed scheduleNEC Nijmegen vs Levski SofiaUEFA Europa League43.2%25.4%31.5%1-112.0%1.53-1.27Home43.2%2.32 · 3.94 · 3.18
20:00confirmed scheduleOlympique de Marseille vs OlympiacosUEFA Europa League44.9%25.0%30.0%1-111.8%1.58-1.25Home44.9%2.23 · 3.99 · 3.33
20:00confirmed scheduleStade Rennais FC vs OFI CreteUEFA Europa League72.9%16.3%10.8%2-010.8%2.50-0.86Home72.9%1.37 · 6.14 · 9.25
20:00confirmed scheduleTSG Hoffenheim vs BeşiktaşUEFA Europa League43.7%25.0%31.3%1-111.7%1.58-1.30Home43.7%2.29 · 4.00 · 3.20
Kick-offFixtureHomeDrawAwayLikely scorexGStrongestFair odds
20:00time provisionalMansfield Town vs Oxford UnitedEFL League One47.4%24.6%28.1%1-111.7%1.53-1.12Home47.4%2.11 · 4.07 · 3.56
MODEL BREAKDOWN

Understand the forecast before the match

Preview: Brighton & Hove Albion win is the strongest published outcome at 74.4%. Even this outcome can lose.

Football predictions today: common questions

Who will win today?

Brighton & Hove Albion win has the highest published 1X2 probability on this board at 74.4%. That is an estimate, not a guaranteed winner.

What are the best football predictions today?

Compare home, draw and away probabilities, expected goals and uncertainty rather than treating one pick as certain. The largest probability is not automatically a value bet: the offered price, freshness and model limitations also matter.

Which matches are on today?

Thursday, 15 October 2026 has 37 active fixtures across UEFA Conference League, UEFA Europa League, EFL League One. The board below shows teams, UK kick-off times and fixture status. Postponed and completed matches are labelled separately.

Are these Premier League predictions today?

The board includes verified Premier League fixtures when scheduled on this date, alongside supported English and European competitions. Use Premier League fixture predictions for the complete league schedule.

DIRECT ANSWER

Probabilities, not picks

Every outcome is expressed as a chance. The largest chance can still lose.

FRESHNESS

Dated evidence

Fixture status, model version and update date are published beside the board.

SEPARATION

No odds in the model

Bookmaker prices never change the core sporting forecast.

PROVENANCE

No synthetic fixtures

Model-draw and format-only UEFA pairings are excluded from daily listings.

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