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THE PROBABILITY DESK · FRIDAY, 16 OCTOBER 2026

Football predictions tomorrow

13 active verified-schedule fixtures are listed across 5 competitions tomorrow. The highest single 1X2 probability is Bayer 04 Leverkusen win at 64.3%; it is an estimate, not a guarantee.

ACTIVE FIXTURES13
COMPETITIONS5
CONFIRMED 3PM0
MODEL PATHS100,000
EVERY SUPPORTED COMPETITION

Friday, 16 October 2026 football predictions

Probabilities are generated independently of bookmaker prices. Fair odds are the decimal inverse of the model probability and do not include a safety margin. 13 listed kick-off times are provisional.

Kick-offFixtureHomeDrawAwayLikely scorexGStrongestFair odds
01:00time provisional1. FC Union Berlin vs Borussia DortmundBundesliga19.3%22.0%58.7%1-110.1%1.11-2.08Away58.7%5.18 · 4.55 · 1.70
01:00time provisionalBayer 04 Leverkusen vs Sport-Club FreiburgBundesliga64.3%19.6%16.1%2-19.5%2.35-1.10Home64.3%1.56 · 5.09 · 6.21
01:00time provisionalBorussia Mönchengladbach vs TSG HoffenheimBundesliga41.4%24.5%34.1%1-110.8%1.72-1.54Home41.4%2.42 · 4.09 · 2.93
01:00time provisionalEintracht Frankfurt vs 1. FC KölnBundesliga58.1%21.8%20.1%1-19.8%2.12-1.17Home58.1%1.72 · 4.59 · 4.98
01:00time provisionalFC Bayern München vs RB LeipzigBundesliga59.3%21.1%19.6%2-19.5%2.22-1.21Home59.3%1.68 · 4.74 · 5.11
01:00time provisionalFC Schalke 04 vs 1. FSV Mainz 05Bundesliga35.1%25.5%39.4%1-111.7%1.47-1.57Away39.4%2.85 · 3.92 · 2.54
01:00time provisionalHamburger SV vs VfB StuttgartBundesliga28.8%23.7%47.4%1-110.4%1.43-1.88Away47.4%3.47 · 4.21 · 2.11
01:00time provisionalSV Elversberg vs FC AugsburgBundesliga43.1%25.0%31.9%1-111.4%1.68-1.42Home43.1%2.32 · 3.99 · 3.14
01:00time provisionalSV Werder Bremen vs SC Paderborn 07Bundesliga41.5%24.9%33.6%1-111.2%1.67-1.48Home41.5%2.41 · 4.02 · 2.98
Kick-offFixtureHomeDrawAwayLikely scorexGStrongestFair odds
19:45time provisionalLe Mans FC vs Toulouse FCLigue 134.2%24.7%41.1%1-111.7%1.31-1.46Away41.1%2.92 · 4.06 · 2.43
Kick-offFixtureHomeDrawAwayLikely scorexGStrongestFair odds
19:45time provisionalFrosinone vs SassuoloSerie A40.2%26.2%33.6%1-112.4%1.42-1.28Home40.2%2.49 · 3.81 · 2.98
Kick-offFixtureHomeDrawAwayLikely scorexGStrongestFair odds
20:00time provisionalBurnley vs Wolverhampton WanderersEFL Championship42.5%26.8%30.7%1-112.7%1.36-1.12Home42.5%2.35 · 3.73 · 3.26
Kick-offFixtureHomeDrawAwayLikely scorexGStrongestFair odds
20:00time provisionalRC Deportivo vs Levante UDLa Liga57.6%22.8%19.6%1-011.4%1.82-0.96Home57.6%1.73 · 4.38 · 5.11
MODEL BREAKDOWN

Understand the forecast before the match

Preview: Bayer 04 Leverkusen win is the strongest published outcome at 64.3%. Even this outcome can lose.

Football predictions tomorrow: common questions

Who will win tomorrow?

Bayer 04 Leverkusen win has the highest published 1X2 probability on this board at 64.3%. That is an estimate, not a guaranteed winner.

What are the best football predictions tomorrow?

Compare home, draw and away probabilities, expected goals and uncertainty rather than treating one pick as certain. The largest probability is not automatically a value bet: the offered price, freshness and model limitations also matter.

Which matches are on tomorrow?

Friday, 16 October 2026 has 13 active fixtures across Bundesliga, Ligue 1, Serie A, EFL Championship, La Liga. The board below shows teams, UK kick-off times and fixture status. Postponed and completed matches are labelled separately.

Are these Premier League predictions today?

The board includes verified Premier League fixtures when scheduled on this date, alongside supported English and European competitions. Use Premier League fixture predictions for the complete league schedule.

DIRECT ANSWER

Probabilities, not picks

Every outcome is expressed as a chance. The largest chance can still lose.

FRESHNESS

Dated evidence

Fixture status, model version and update date are published beside the board.

SEPARATION

No odds in the model

Bookmaker prices never change the core sporting forecast.

PROVENANCE

No synthetic fixtures

Model-draw and format-only UEFA pairings are excluded from daily listings.

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