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THE PROBABILITY DESK · SUNDAY, 30 AUGUST 2026

Football predictions tomorrow

17 verified-schedule fixtures are listed across 6 competitions tomorrow. The highest single 1X2 probability is Real Madrid win at 74.0%; it is an estimate, not a guarantee.

VERIFIED FIXTURES17
COMPETITIONS6
CONFIRMED 3PM0
MODEL PATHS100,000
EVERY SUPPORTED COMPETITION

Sunday, 30 August 2026 football predictions

Probabilities are generated independently of bookmaker prices. Fair odds are the decimal inverse of the model probability and do not include a safety margin. 5 listed kick-off times are provisional.

Kick-offFixtureHomeDrawAwayLikely scorexGStrongestFair odds
14:00time provisionalAFC Wimbledon vs Wigan AthleticEFL League One34.3%26.7%39.0%1-112.6%1.15-1.24Away39.0%2.92 · 3.74 · 2.56
15:00time provisionalMansfield Town vs Luton TownEFL League One41.8%25.0%33.2%1-111.9%1.42-1.24Home41.8%2.39 · 4.00 · 3.01
Kick-offFixtureHomeDrawAwayLikely scorexGStrongestFair odds
14:00time provisionalParis FC vs OGC NiceLigue 154.5%22.7%22.9%1-110.7%1.77-1.07Home54.5%1.84 · 4.41 · 4.38
16:15time provisionalStade Rennais FC vs Le Mans FCLigue 163.0%19.8%17.3%2-010.1%2.09-1.00Home63.0%1.59 · 5.06 · 5.79
19:45time provisionalAS Monaco vs Olympique de MarseilleLigue 143.8%23.2%33.1%1-110.6%1.65-1.41Home43.8%2.29 · 4.32 · 3.02
Kick-offFixtureHomeDrawAwayLikely scorexGStrongestFair odds
14:00confirmed scheduleChelsea vs Brighton & Hove AlbionPremier League56.3%23.0%20.6%1-110.6%2.00-1.15Home56.3%1.78 · 4.34 · 4.85
14:00confirmed scheduleLeeds United vs BrentfordPremier League40.5%27.3%32.2%1-113.0%1.47-1.29Home40.5%2.47 · 3.66 · 3.11
14:00confirmed scheduleSunderland vs FulhamPremier League39.8%25.4%34.7%1-111.6%1.62-1.50Home39.8%2.51 · 3.93 · 2.88
16:30confirmed scheduleManchester United vs Ipswich TownPremier League60.3%22.4%17.3%1-110.5%2.04-1.02Home60.3%1.66 · 4.46 · 5.77
Kick-offFixtureHomeDrawAwayLikely scorexGStrongestFair odds
14:30confirmed scheduleSport-Club Freiburg vs SV Werder BremenBundesliga54.0%23.0%23.0%1-110.4%1.99-1.23Home54.0%1.85 · 4.35 · 4.35
16:30confirmed scheduleFC Augsburg vs FC Schalke 04Bundesliga43.5%25.1%31.4%1-111.5%1.68-1.40Home43.5%2.30 · 3.98 · 3.18
Kick-offFixtureHomeDrawAwayLikely scorexGStrongestFair odds
16:00confirmed scheduleReal Madrid vs Málaga CFLa Liga74.0%16.2%9.8%2-012.3%2.41-0.75Home74.0%1.35 · 6.18 · 10.23
18:30confirmed scheduleRC Deportivo vs Valencia CFLa Liga35.5%26.4%38.1%1-112.6%1.27-1.32Away38.1%2.82 · 3.78 · 2.63
20:30confirmed scheduleCelta vs Athletic ClubLa Liga43.8%25.7%30.5%1-112.2%1.47-1.18Home43.8%2.29 · 3.89 · 3.28
Kick-offFixtureHomeDrawAwayLikely scorexGStrongestFair odds
17:30confirmed scheduleNapoli vs ComoSerie A44.9%26.7%28.4%1-112.7%1.45-1.10Home44.9%2.23 · 3.74 · 3.52
19:45confirmed scheduleCagliari vs InterSerie A14.7%20.9%64.4%0-211.6%0.84-2.02Away64.4%6.80 · 4.79 · 1.55
19:45confirmed scheduleLazio vs GenoaSerie A52.1%25.7%22.2%1-012.7%1.58-0.94Home52.1%1.92 · 3.89 · 4.50
DIRECT ANSWER

Probabilities, not picks

Every outcome is expressed as a chance. The largest chance can still lose.

FRESHNESS

Dated evidence

Fixture status, model version and update date are published beside the board.

SEPARATION

No odds in the model

Bookmaker prices never change the core sporting forecast.

PROVENANCE

No synthetic fixtures

Model-draw and format-only UEFA pairings are excluded from daily listings.