Probabilities, not picks
Every outcome is expressed as a chance. The largest chance can still lose.
17 verified-schedule fixtures are listed across 6 competitions tomorrow. The highest single 1X2 probability is Real Madrid win at 74.0%; it is an estimate, not a guarantee.
Probabilities are generated independently of bookmaker prices. Fair odds are the decimal inverse of the model probability and do not include a safety margin. 5 listed kick-off times are provisional.
| Kick-off | Fixture | Home | Draw | Away | Likely score | xG | Strongest | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14:00time provisional | AFC Wimbledon vs Wigan AthleticEFL League One | 34.3% | 26.7% | 39.0% | 1-112.6% | 1.15-1.24 | Away39.0% | 2.92 · 3.74 · 2.56 |
| 15:00time provisional | Mansfield Town vs Luton TownEFL League One | 41.8% | 25.0% | 33.2% | 1-111.9% | 1.42-1.24 | Home41.8% | 2.39 · 4.00 · 3.01 |
| Kick-off | Fixture | Home | Draw | Away | Likely score | xG | Strongest | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14:00time provisional | Paris FC vs OGC NiceLigue 1 | 54.5% | 22.7% | 22.9% | 1-110.7% | 1.77-1.07 | Home54.5% | 1.84 · 4.41 · 4.38 |
| 16:15time provisional | Stade Rennais FC vs Le Mans FCLigue 1 | 63.0% | 19.8% | 17.3% | 2-010.1% | 2.09-1.00 | Home63.0% | 1.59 · 5.06 · 5.79 |
| 19:45time provisional | AS Monaco vs Olympique de MarseilleLigue 1 | 43.8% | 23.2% | 33.1% | 1-110.6% | 1.65-1.41 | Home43.8% | 2.29 · 4.32 · 3.02 |
| Kick-off | Fixture | Home | Draw | Away | Likely score | xG | Strongest | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14:00confirmed schedule | Chelsea vs Brighton & Hove AlbionPremier League | 56.3% | 23.0% | 20.6% | 1-110.6% | 2.00-1.15 | Home56.3% | 1.78 · 4.34 · 4.85 |
| 14:00confirmed schedule | Leeds United vs BrentfordPremier League | 40.5% | 27.3% | 32.2% | 1-113.0% | 1.47-1.29 | Home40.5% | 2.47 · 3.66 · 3.11 |
| 14:00confirmed schedule | Sunderland vs FulhamPremier League | 39.8% | 25.4% | 34.7% | 1-111.6% | 1.62-1.50 | Home39.8% | 2.51 · 3.93 · 2.88 |
| 16:30confirmed schedule | Manchester United vs Ipswich TownPremier League | 60.3% | 22.4% | 17.3% | 1-110.5% | 2.04-1.02 | Home60.3% | 1.66 · 4.46 · 5.77 |
| Kick-off | Fixture | Home | Draw | Away | Likely score | xG | Strongest | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14:30confirmed schedule | Sport-Club Freiburg vs SV Werder BremenBundesliga | 54.0% | 23.0% | 23.0% | 1-110.4% | 1.99-1.23 | Home54.0% | 1.85 · 4.35 · 4.35 |
| 16:30confirmed schedule | FC Augsburg vs FC Schalke 04Bundesliga | 43.5% | 25.1% | 31.4% | 1-111.5% | 1.68-1.40 | Home43.5% | 2.30 · 3.98 · 3.18 |
| Kick-off | Fixture | Home | Draw | Away | Likely score | xG | Strongest | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16:00confirmed schedule | Real Madrid vs Málaga CFLa Liga | 74.0% | 16.2% | 9.8% | 2-012.3% | 2.41-0.75 | Home74.0% | 1.35 · 6.18 · 10.23 |
| 18:30confirmed schedule | RC Deportivo vs Valencia CFLa Liga | 35.5% | 26.4% | 38.1% | 1-112.6% | 1.27-1.32 | Away38.1% | 2.82 · 3.78 · 2.63 |
| 20:30confirmed schedule | Celta vs Athletic ClubLa Liga | 43.8% | 25.7% | 30.5% | 1-112.2% | 1.47-1.18 | Home43.8% | 2.29 · 3.89 · 3.28 |
| Kick-off | Fixture | Home | Draw | Away | Likely score | xG | Strongest | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17:30confirmed schedule | Napoli vs ComoSerie A | 44.9% | 26.7% | 28.4% | 1-112.7% | 1.45-1.10 | Home44.9% | 2.23 · 3.74 · 3.52 |
| 19:45confirmed schedule | Cagliari vs InterSerie A | 14.7% | 20.9% | 64.4% | 0-211.6% | 0.84-2.02 | Away64.4% | 6.80 · 4.79 · 1.55 |
| 19:45confirmed schedule | Lazio vs GenoaSerie A | 52.1% | 25.7% | 22.2% | 1-012.7% | 1.58-0.94 | Home52.1% | 1.92 · 3.89 · 4.50 |
Every outcome is expressed as a chance. The largest chance can still lose.
Fixture status, model version and update date are published beside the board.
Bookmaker prices never change the core sporting forecast.
Model-draw and format-only UEFA pairings are excluded from daily listings.