Premier League Simulator 2026/27Every match reshapes the season.
The Football Simulator uses HORIZON to turn every Premier League fixture, sustainable form signal and confirmed transfer into a living probability map. It forecasts all 380 matches, plays the campaign through 100,000 seeded paths and recalculates every race as new evidence arrives. Create a free account to follow your club and keep its forecast in a personal dashboard.
Current model versus bookmaker gaps
Recent named-bookmaker prices are compared with HORIZON probabilities, with margin removal and an uncertainty haircut before a signal qualifies.
The forecast remains available while the price feed reconnects.
Prices move. This preview is research, not a guarantee or instruction to bet. Always verify the displayed price with the named bookmaker and bet responsibly.
Responsible gambling →Projected finishing order
| Pos | Club | Mean pts | 90% range | Title | Top 4 | Relegation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 74.9 | 62–88 | 50% | 93% | 0% | |
| 2 | 71.4 | 58–85 | 30% | 85% | 0% | |
| 3 | 64.7 | 51–78 | 9% | 59% | 0% | |
| 4 | 61.4 | 47–76 | 5% | 42% | 1% | |
| 5 | 61 | 47–75 | 4% | 41% | 1% | |
| 6 | 56.4 | 43–70 | 1% | 21% | 2% | |
| 7 | 52.8 | 40–66 | 0% | 10% | 4% | |
| 8 | 52.3 | 39–66 | 0% | 10% | 5% |
Title race
Relegation pressure
First signals of the new season
Largest strength movements
Evidence pipeline
One football simulator for every question the season creates
Explore the projected Premier League table, team-by-team outcome probabilities, every fixture and the transparent evidence behind the model. Forecasts update when verified results, availability and confirmed transfers materially change the season.
Premier League predictions
Title, top-four, European qualification and relegation chances from 100,000 complete season simulations.
Explore the 2026/27 forecast →02 · EVERY FIXTUREPremier League match predictions
Opening weekend and all 38 matchweeks, with win, draw, score, BTTS and over 2.5 probabilities for every fixture.
Explore every match →03 · TRANSPARENT MODELHow HORIZON works
Inspect the inputs, simulation design, evidence hierarchy, uncertainty and limitations behind every published probability.
Read the methodology →04 · LATEST SIGNALFootball model updates
See what changed, why it mattered and how the latest verified event moved the title, qualification or relegation forecast.
See the latest update →05 · TODAY'S BOARDFootball predictions today
Verified fixtures across supported competitions, with 1X2, expected goals, likely score and model fair odds.
Open today's probability board →06 · MODEL ANALYSISWhat changed and why
A permanent archive of verified result, confirmed transfer and clearly labelled hypothetical analysis.
Explore the analysis archive →07 · FREE CLUB DASHBOARDFollow your club
Choose your club once and return to a personal view of its latest projected finish, points and season-outcome probabilities.
Create your free account →