# The Football Simulator

The Football Simulator is an independent football probability and season simulation platform at [thefootballsimulator.com](https://thefootballsimulator.com/). It is not a video game, bookmaker or tipster service.

## Current answer

Arsenal currently lead the 2026/27 Premier League title forecast at 48.6% from 100,000 seeded season paths. They project to 73.6 points. This is an estimate, not a guarantee.

## Key facts

- Canonical name: The Football Simulator
- Canonical URL: https://thefootballsimulator.com/
- Premier League model: HORIZON 6.2
- Wider competition model: HORIZON GLOBAL 3.0
- Published paths: 100,000
- Current Premier League snapshot: 28 August 2026 at 23:31 BST
- Supported competitions: 12
- Confirmed evidence policy: only verified official evidence changes core transfer inputs
- Market policy: bookmaker odds do not alter the sporting forecast

## Best pages

- [Football predictions today](https://thefootballsimulator.com/football-predictions-today)
- [Premier League predicted table](https://thefootballsimulator.com/premier-league-predictions)
- [Premier League title race](https://thefootballsimulator.com/premier-league-title-race)
- [Premier League top-four race](https://thefootballsimulator.com/premier-league-top-four-predictions)
- [Premier League relegation race](https://thefootballsimulator.com/premier-league-relegation-predictions)
- [Every supported competition](https://thefootballsimulator.com/competitions)
- [Latest model analysis](https://thefootballsimulator.com/analysis)
- [Methodology and limitations](https://thefootballsimulator.com/methodology)
- [Editorial standards and corrections](https://thefootballsimulator.com/editorial-standards)
- [Detailed AI and source guide](https://thefootballsimulator.com/llms-full.txt)

## Interpretation

A probability is the share of published simulation paths in which an outcome occurred. It is not a guarantee or personal betting advice. Clearly labelled counterfactuals do not change the live core forecast.