Newcastle United 2026/27 Premier League prediction
Newcastle United currently project to finish 9th on 54.1 points. This page exposes the probability range, form signal, transfer effect and next fixture prices behind that headline.
NEW
CURRENT MEAN FINISH9th
PROJECTED POINTS54.1
90% RANGE40 to 68
regression-adjusted
31 points across the final 25 league matches, with 75% sustainability after underlying-performance regression.
-0.046 strength signal
7 arrivals and 14 departures are tracked. 13 carry a first-team model weight.
18th hardest
Remaining schedule index 100, labelled favourable after opponent strength and venue are combined.
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Every probability is tied to this versioned input state and 100,000 season paths.
NEXT FIVE LEAGUE FIXTURES
Newcastle match probabilities
H 44%D 24%A 32%
Modal score 1-1Full match prediction →H 48%D 25%A 27%
Modal score 1-1Full match prediction →H 43%D 27%A 31%
Modal score 1-1Full match prediction →H 61%D 22%A 17%
Modal score 1-1Full match prediction →H 28%D 26%A 46%
Modal score 1-1Full match prediction →CONFIRMED WINDOW
Newcastle transfer ledger
Rumours are excluded. This table contains confirmed movement only.
Newcastle United → Arsenal
model assessedManchester City → Newcastle United
model assessedSC Braga → Newcastle United
model assessedMonaco → Newcastle United
model assessedTSG Hoffenheim → Newcastle United
model assessedAjax → Newcastle United
model assessedReims → Newcastle United
model assessedBenfica → Newcastle United
model assessedNewcastle United → Tottenham Hotspur
model assessedNewcastle United → Barcelona
model assessedNewcastle United → Groningen
ledger onlyNewcastle United → York City
ledger onlyNewcastle United → Middlesbrough
ledger onlyNewcastle United → Wolverhampton Wanderers
model assessedNewcastle United → Sevilla
model assessedNewcastle United → Luton Town
ledger only