Aston Villa 2026/27 Premier League prediction
Aston Villa currently project to finish 8th on 55 points. This page exposes the probability range, form signal, transfer effect and next fixture prices behind that headline.
AVL
CURRENT MEAN FINISH8th
PROJECTED POINTS55
90% RANGE41 to 69
durable
41 points across the final 25 league matches, with 89% sustainability after underlying-performance regression.
+0.038 strength signal
9 arrivals and 27 departures are tracked. 13 carry a first-team model weight.
14th hardest
Remaining schedule index 100, labelled balanced after opponent strength and venue are combined.
f7087d41
Every probability is tied to this versioned input state and 100,000 season paths.
NEXT FIVE LEAGUE FIXTURES
Aston Villa match probabilities
H 29%D 26%A 44%
Modal score 1-1Full match prediction →H 31%D 27%A 42%
Modal score 1-1Full match prediction →H 50%D 26%A 24%
Modal score 1-1Full match prediction →H 42%D 25%A 34%
Modal score 1-1Full match prediction →H 47%D 25%A 28%
Modal score 1-1Full match prediction →CONFIRMED WINDOW
Aston Villa transfer ledger
Rumours are excluded. This table contains confirmed movement only.
Aston Villa → Arsenal
model assessedChelsea → Aston Villa
model assessedSC Freiburg → Aston Villa
model assessedWolverhampton Wanderers → Aston Villa
model assessedParma → Aston Villa
model assessedAtletico Madrid → Aston Villa
model assessedWest Ham United → Aston Villa
model assessedLASK → Aston Villa
ledger onlyCambridge United → Aston Villa
ledger onlyAston Villa → Paris Saint-Germain
model assessedAston Villa → Chelsea
model assessedAston Villa → Manchester United
model assessedAston Villa → Roma
model assessedAston Villa → Southampton
model assessedAston Villa → Benfica
ledger onlyAston Villa → Sheffield Wednesday
ledger only