AFC Bournemouth 2026/27 Premier League prediction
AFC Bournemouth currently project to finish 15th on 45.9 points. This page exposes the probability range, form signal, transfer effect and next fixture prices behind that headline.
BOU
CURRENT MEAN FINISH15th
PROJECTED POINTS45.9
90% RANGE33 to 58
volatile
38 points across the final 25 league matches, with 52% sustainability after underlying-performance regression.
+0.049 strength signal
2 arrivals and 19 departures are tracked. 4 carry a first-team model weight.
20th hardest
Remaining schedule index 98, labelled favourable after opponent strength and venue are combined.
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Every probability is tied to this versioned input state and 100,000 season paths.
NEXT FIVE LEAGUE FIXTURES
Bournemouth match probabilities
H 58%D 23%A 19%
Modal score 1-1Full match prediction →H 55%D 24%A 21%
Modal score 1-1Full match prediction →H 46%D 26%A 27%
Modal score 1-1Full match prediction →H 43%D 26%A 32%
Modal score 1-1Full match prediction →H 46%D 27%A 27%
Modal score 1-1Full match prediction →CONFIRMED WINDOW
Bournemouth transfer ledger
Rumours are excluded. This table contains confirmed movement only.
Benfica → AFC Bournemouth
model assessedElche → AFC Bournemouth
model assessedAFC Bournemouth → Getafe
ledger onlyAFC Bournemouth → Marseille
model assessedAFC Bournemouth → Cruzeiro
model assessedAFC Bournemouth → Dundee
ledger onlyAFC Bournemouth → Salisbury
ledger onlyAFC Bournemouth → Woking
ledger onlyAFC Bournemouth → Inverness CT
ledger onlyAFC Bournemouth → Moreirense
ledger onlyAFC Bournemouth → UCNA Bulldogs
ledger onlyAFC Bournemouth → Moreirense
ledger onlyAFC Bournemouth → Tottenham Hotspur
ledger onlyAFC Bournemouth → Auxerre
ledger onlyAFC Bournemouth → Fiorentina
ledger onlyAFC Bournemouth → Motherwell
ledger onlyBOU PROBABILITY DESK
Latest Bournemouth model analysis
Verified results, confirmed transfers and clearly labelled counterfactuals connected to AFC Bournemouth.
result
Chelsea 5-1 Bournemouth: Premier League model impact
Chelsea's emphatic win lifts their top-four probability from 15.42% to 30.01% and moves them from seventh to fifth in predicted final standings.
result
Bournemouth 0-1 Liverpool: Premier League model impact
Liverpool's away win adds 2.5 projected points and raises their top-four probability by 11.82 percentage points.
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