Liverpool 2026/27 Premier League prediction
Liverpool currently project to finish 4th on 59.9 points. This page exposes the probability range, form signal, transfer effect and next fixture prices behind that headline.
LIV
CURRENT MEAN FINISH4th
PROJECTED POINTS59.9
90% RANGE46 to 74
durable
39 points across the final 25 league matches, with 82% sustainability after underlying-performance regression.
+0.007 strength signal
4 arrivals and 16 departures are tracked. 7 carry a first-team model weight.
19th hardest
Remaining schedule index 99, labelled favourable after opponent strength and venue are combined.
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Every probability is tied to this versioned input state and 100,000 season paths.
NEXT FIVE LEAGUE FIXTURES
Liverpool match probabilities
H 32%D 25%A 42%
Modal score 1-1Full match prediction →H 63%D 20%A 17%
Modal score 2-1Full match prediction →H 38%D 26%A 35%
Modal score 1-1Full match prediction →H 45%D 24%A 31%
Modal score 1-1Full match prediction →H 41%D 26%A 33%
Modal score 1-1Full match prediction →CONFIRMED WINDOW
Liverpool transfer ledger
Rumours are excluded. This table contains confirmed movement only.
FC Barcelona → Liverpool
model assessedRennes → Liverpool
model assessedOsasuna → Liverpool
model assessedAustria Wien → Liverpool
ledger onlyLiverpool → TSV Hartberg
ledger onlyLiverpool → West Bromwich Albion
ledger onlyLiverpool → Bolton Wanderers
ledger onlyLiverpool → Tottenham Hotspur
model assessedLiverpool → Real Madrid
model assessedLiverpool → Middlesbrough
ledger onlyLiverpool → Trabzonspor
model assessedLiverpool → Released
ledger onlyLiverpool → Released
ledger onlyLiverpool → Released
ledger onlyLiverpool → Released
ledger onlyLiverpool → Released
ledger only