Hull City vs Liverpool prediction
HORIZON 6.2 makes Liverpool win the strongest outcome at 48.1%. The most likely score is 1-1, derived from 100,000 complete season paths.
Hull CityHUL42.5 projected points
LiverpoolLIV59.9 projected points
EXACT-SCORE MODEL
Most likely Hull vs Liverpool scores
The modal score is useful, but the surrounding distribution is more honest. These are the five most likely exact outcomes.
12.1%
9.5%
8.3%
7.9%
6.8%
Hull 1.21 · Liverpool 1.71
The score matrix begins with venue-adjusted expected goals before uncertainty is sampled.
21.4% to 32.3%
The Hull home-win range across 24 posterior team-strength states.
17 vs 4
Current mean projected league positions for Hull and Liverpool.
Matchweek 17
Saturday, 26 December 2026, time provisional
MODEL DRIVERS
What shapes this prediction
Latent strength
-0.94 home differential
Venue
24% league scoring uplift
Sustainable form
+0.023 xG-trend differential
Squad inputs
+0.118 goal-rate signal
Recent results
+0.137 EWMA state differential
MATCH FAQ
Hull vs Liverpool prediction questions
Who is predicted to win Hull City vs Liverpool?
Liverpool win is the strongest modelled 1X2 outcome at 48.1%. The draw is 25.7%.
What is the predicted score for Hull City vs Liverpool?
The most likely exact score is Hull City 1-1 Liverpool, with an estimated probability of 12.1%.
Will both teams score in Hull City vs Liverpool?
The model gives both teams to score a 58.3% probability and over 2.5 total goals a 55.8% probability.
When is Hull City vs Liverpool?
Hull City vs Liverpool is scheduled for Saturday, 26 December 2026, time provisional.