Hull City vs Liverpool prediction
HORIZON 6.2 makes Liverpool win the strongest outcome at 47.9%. The most likely score is 1-1, derived from 100,000 complete season paths.
Hull CityHUL40.9 projected points
LiverpoolLIV59.9 projected points
EXACT-SCORE MODEL
Most likely Hull vs Liverpool scores
The modal score is useful, but the surrounding distribution is more honest. These are the five most likely exact outcomes.
12.2%
9.5%
8.6%
8.0%
6.8%
Hull 1.19 · Liverpool 1.68
The score matrix begins with venue-adjusted expected goals before uncertainty is sampled.
22.3% to 31.0%
The Hull home-win range across 24 posterior team-strength states.
18 vs 4
Current mean projected league positions for Hull and Liverpool.
Matchweek 17
Saturday, 26 December 2026, time provisional
MODEL DRIVERS
What shapes this prediction
Latent strength
-0.94 home differential
Venue
24% league scoring uplift
Sustainable form
+0.023 xG-trend differential
Squad inputs
+0.13 goal-rate signal
Recent results
+0.126 EWMA state differential
MATCH FAQ
Hull vs Liverpool prediction questions
Who is predicted to win Hull City vs Liverpool?
Liverpool win is the strongest modelled 1X2 outcome at 47.9%. The draw is 25.9%.
What is the predicted score for Hull City vs Liverpool?
The most likely exact score is Hull City 1-1 Liverpool, with an estimated probability of 12.2%.
Will both teams score in Hull City vs Liverpool?
The model gives both teams to score a 57.7% probability and over 2.5 total goals a 54.9% probability.
When is Hull City vs Liverpool?
Hull City vs Liverpool is scheduled for Saturday, 26 December 2026, time provisional.
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