Hull City 2026/27 Premier League prediction
Hull City currently project to finish 18th on 40.9 points. This page exposes the probability range, form signal, transfer effect and next fixture prices behind that headline.
HUL
CURRENT MEAN FINISH18th
PROJECTED POINTS40.9
90% RANGE28 to 53
Promoted prior
No unadjusted Championship form is copied into the Premier League baseline. A league-strength-adjusted promoted prior is used instead.
+0.172 strength signal
15 arrivals and 17 departures are tracked. 14 carry a first-team model weight.
2nd hardest
Remaining schedule index 102, labelled hard after opponent strength and venue are combined.
d4352075
Every probability is tied to this versioned input state and 100,000 season paths.
NEXT FIVE LEAGUE FIXTURES
Hull match probabilities
H 55%D 24%A 21%
Modal score 1-1Full match prediction →H 31%D 26%A 43%
Modal score 1-1Full match prediction →H 39%D 26%A 34%
Modal score 1-1Full match prediction →H 75%D 16%A 8%
Modal score 2-0Full match prediction →H 30%D 26%A 43%
Modal score 1-1Full match prediction →CONFIRMED WINDOW
Hull transfer ledger
Rumours are excluded. This table contains confirmed movement only.
Everton → Hull City
model assessedUnion Berlin → Hull City
model assessedStoke City → Hull City
model assessedOlympiacos → Hull City
model assessedGenoa → Hull City
model assessedRoma → Hull City
model assessedRayo Vallecano → Hull City
model assessedColorado Rapids → Hull City
model assessedTromsø IL → Hull City
model assessedMjällby AIF → Hull City
model assessedSporting CP → Hull City
model assessedFree agent → Hull City
model assessedRangers → Hull City
ledger onlyPreston North End → Hull City
ledger onlyMaribor → Hull City
model assessedHull City → Genoa
ledger onlyHUL PROBABILITY DESK
Latest Hull model analysis
Verified results, confirmed transfers and clearly labelled counterfactuals connected to Hull City.
result
Hull 0-0 Aston Villa: Premier League model impact
Hull remain unbeaten, but the draw lifts their relegation probability by 2.83 percentage points and moves their mean projected finish from 16th to 19th.
confirmed transfer
Hull City's deadline-day six: confirmed model impact
Six minutes-aware additions lift Hull by 1.3 projected points and reduce relegation probability by 5.00 percentage points.
result
Hull 2-0 Manchester United: Premier League model impact
The result's effect on projected points, Europe and relegation probabilities.
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