Hull City vs Tottenham Hotspur prediction
HORIZON 6.2 makes Tottenham Hotspur win the strongest outcome at 38.0%. The most likely score is 1-1, derived from 100,000 complete season paths.
Hull CityHUL42.5 projected points
Tottenham HotspurTOT49.8 projected points
EXACT-SCORE MODEL
Most likely Hull vs Tottenham scores
The modal score is useful, but the surrounding distribution is more honest. These are the five most likely exact outcomes.
11.7%
8.5%
8.3%
6.5%
6.3%
Hull 1.52 · Tottenham 1.56
The score matrix begins with venue-adjusted expected goals before uncertainty is sampled.
28.4% to 43.9%
The Hull home-win range across 24 posterior team-strength states.
17 vs 14
Current mean projected league positions for Hull and Tottenham.
Matchweek 15
Saturday, 12 December 2026, time provisional
MODEL DRIVERS
What shapes this prediction
Latent strength
-0.55 home differential
Venue
24% league scoring uplift
Sustainable form
-0.014 xG-trend differential
Squad inputs
+0.021 goal-rate signal
Recent results
+0.198 EWMA state differential
MATCH FAQ
Hull vs Tottenham prediction questions
Who is predicted to win Hull City vs Tottenham Hotspur?
Tottenham Hotspur win is the strongest modelled 1X2 outcome at 38.0%. The draw is 25.6%.
What is the predicted score for Hull City vs Tottenham Hotspur?
The most likely exact score is Hull City 1-1 Tottenham Hotspur, with an estimated probability of 11.7%.
Will both teams score in Hull City vs Tottenham Hotspur?
The model gives both teams to score a 62.7% probability and over 2.5 total goals a 59.6% probability.
When is Hull City vs Tottenham Hotspur?
Hull City vs Tottenham Hotspur is scheduled for Saturday, 12 December 2026, time provisional.