Hull City vs Nottingham Forest prediction
HORIZON 6.2 makes Nottingham Forest win the strongest outcome at 36.5%. The most likely score is 1-1, derived from 100,000 complete season paths.
Hull CityHUL40.9 projected points
Nottingham ForestNFO45.8 projected points
EXACT-SCORE MODEL
Most likely Hull vs Nott'm Forest scores
The modal score is useful, but the surrounding distribution is more honest. These are the five most likely exact outcomes.
13.4%
8.4%
8.3%
8.3%
8.2%
Hull 1.32 · Nott'm Forest 1.34
The score matrix begins with venue-adjusted expected goals before uncertainty is sampled.
30.8% to 41.8%
The Hull home-win range across 24 posterior team-strength states.
18 vs 16
Current mean projected league positions for Hull and Nott'm Forest.
Matchweek 13
Wednesday, 2 December 2026, time provisional
MODEL DRIVERS
What shapes this prediction
Latent strength
-0.55 home differential
Venue
24% league scoring uplift
Sustainable form
-0.001 xG-trend differential
Squad inputs
+0.088 goal-rate signal
Recent results
+0.129 EWMA state differential
MATCH FAQ
Hull vs Nott'm Forest prediction questions
Who is predicted to win Hull City vs Nottingham Forest?
Nottingham Forest win is the strongest modelled 1X2 outcome at 36.5%. The draw is 28.1%.
What is the predicted score for Hull City vs Nottingham Forest?
The most likely exact score is Hull City 1-1 Nottingham Forest, with an estimated probability of 13.4%.
Will both teams score in Hull City vs Nottingham Forest?
The model gives both teams to score a 55.0% probability and over 2.5 total goals a 49.5% probability.
When is Hull City vs Nottingham Forest?
Hull City vs Nottingham Forest is scheduled for Wednesday, 2 December 2026, time provisional.
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