Nottingham Forest 2026/27 Premier League prediction
Nottingham Forest currently project to finish 16th on 45.8 points. This page exposes the probability range, form signal, transfer effect and next fixture prices behind that headline.
regression-adjusted
32 points across the final 25 league matches, with 62% sustainability after underlying-performance regression.
+0.090 strength signal
9 arrivals and 17 departures are tracked. 8 carry a first-team model weight.
8th hardest
Remaining schedule index 101, labelled balanced after opponent strength and venue are combined.
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Every probability is tied to this versioned input state and 100,000 season paths.
Nott'm Forest match probabilities
Nott'm Forest transfer ledger
Rumours are excluded. This table contains confirmed movement only.
Nottingham Forest → Coventry City
model assessedCrystal Palace → Nottingham Forest
model assessedNottingham Forest → Manchester City
model assessedSporting CP → Nottingham Forest
model assessedRB Leipzig → Nottingham Forest
model assessedHearts → Nottingham Forest
ledger onlyGlentoran → Nottingham Forest
ledger onlyRangers → Nottingham Forest
ledger onlyClub Brugge → Nottingham Forest
ledger onlyManchester City → Nottingham Forest
ledger onlyNottingham Forest → AC Milan
model assessedNottingham Forest → West Ham United
model assessedNottingham Forest → Southampton
ledger onlyNottingham Forest → Olympiacos
ledger onlyNottingham Forest → Hearts
ledger onlyNottingham Forest → San Jose Earthquakes
ledger onlyLatest Nott'm Forest model analysis
Verified results, confirmed transfers and clearly labelled counterfactuals connected to Nottingham Forest.
Crystal Palace 3-1 Nottingham Forest: Premier League model impact
Palace move from 16th to 12th in the predicted final table and cut relegation probability from 23.01% to 10.55% after the verified home win.
Nottingham Forest 0-1 Coventry: Premier League model impact
Coventry's first league win adds 5.0 projected points and cuts their relegation probability by 14.09 percentage points.
Liverpool 2-2 Nottingham Forest: Premier League model impact
The completed draw applied to Liverpool's top-four outlook and Nottingham Forest's survival probability.
Liam Delap joins Nottingham Forest: model impact
The confirmed transfer applied to Nottingham Forest's projected points and season outcome probabilities.
Taiwo Awoniyi to Coventry: confirmed model impact
The confirmed striker move applied to Coventry's attack and survival outlook.
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