Sunderland vs Nottingham Forest prediction
HORIZON 6.2 makes Nottingham Forest win the strongest outcome at 38.1%. The most likely score is 1-1, derived from 100,000 complete season paths.
SunderlandSUN38.8 projected points
Nottingham ForestNFO49.9 projected points
EXACT-SCORE MODEL
Most likely Sunderland vs Nott'm Forest scores
The modal score is useful, but the surrounding distribution is more honest. These are the five most likely exact outcomes.
13.0%
8.5%
8.1%
8.0%
7.5%
Sunderland 1.35 · Nott'm Forest 1.42
The score matrix begins with venue-adjusted expected goals before uncertainty is sampled.
31.4% to 39.9%
The Sunderland home-win range across 24 posterior team-strength states.
19 vs 13
Current mean projected league positions for Sunderland and Nott'm Forest.
Matchweek 15
Saturday, 12 December 2026, time provisional
MODEL DRIVERS
What shapes this prediction
Latent strength
-0.27 home differential
Venue
24% league scoring uplift
Sustainable form
+0.015 xG-trend differential
Squad inputs
-0.084 goal-rate signal
Recent results
-0.011 EWMA state differential
MATCH FAQ
Sunderland vs Nott'm Forest prediction questions
Who is predicted to win Sunderland vs Nottingham Forest?
Nottingham Forest win is the strongest modelled 1X2 outcome at 38.1%. The draw is 27.3%.
What is the predicted score for Sunderland vs Nottingham Forest?
The most likely exact score is Sunderland 1-1 Nottingham Forest, with an estimated probability of 13.0%.
Will both teams score in Sunderland vs Nottingham Forest?
The model gives both teams to score a 57.1% probability and over 2.5 total goals a 52.3% probability.
When is Sunderland vs Nottingham Forest?
Sunderland vs Nottingham Forest is scheduled for Saturday, 12 December 2026, time provisional.