Sunderland 2026/27 Premier League prediction
Sunderland currently project to finish 19th on 38.8 points. This page exposes the probability range, form signal, transfer effect and next fixture prices behind that headline.
SUN
CURRENT MEAN FINISH19th
PROJECTED POINTS38.8
90% RANGE26 to 52
durable
32 points across the final 25 league matches, with 86% sustainability after underlying-performance regression.
-0.014 strength signal
3 arrivals and 14 departures are tracked. 4 carry a first-team model weight.
4th hardest
Remaining schedule index 102, labelled hard after opponent strength and venue are combined.
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Every probability is tied to this versioned input state and 100,000 season paths.
NEXT FIVE LEAGUE FIXTURES
Sunderland match probabilities
H 40%D 25%A 35%
Modal score 1-1Full match prediction →H 62%D 22%A 16%
Modal score 1-1Full match prediction →H 17%D 23%A 60%
Modal score 1-1Full match prediction →H 72%D 17%A 11%
Modal score 2-0Full match prediction →H 34%D 26%A 39%
Modal score 1-1Full match prediction →CONFIRMED WINDOW
Sunderland transfer ledger
Rumours are excluded. This table contains confirmed movement only.
Lille → Sunderland
model assessedCrystal Palace → Sunderland
ledger onlyGlentoran → Sunderland
ledger onlySunderland → Rennes
model assessedSunderland → Peterborough United
ledger onlySunderland → York City
ledger onlySunderland → Karpaty Lviv
ledger onlySunderland → Le Havre
ledger onlySunderland → Partizan Belgrade
ledger onlySunderland → Boreham Wood
ledger onlySunderland → Gateshead
ledger onlySunderland → Rangers
model assessedSunderland → Glentoran
ledger onlySunderland → Huddersfield Town
ledger onlySunderland → Released
ledger onlySunderland → Released
model assessed