Liverpool vs Sunderland prediction
HORIZON 6.2 makes Liverpool win the strongest outcome at 67.7%. The most likely score is 2-0, derived from 100,000 complete season paths.
LiverpoolLIV59.9 projected points
SunderlandSUN37.1 projected points
EXACT-SCORE MODEL
Most likely Liverpool vs Sunderland scores
The modal score is useful, but the surrounding distribution is more honest. These are the five most likely exact outcomes.
11.1%
9.8%
9.4%
9.2%
8.3%
Liverpool 2.25 · Sunderland 0.88
The score matrix begins with venue-adjusted expected goals before uncertainty is sampled.
62.6% to 70.8%
The Liverpool home-win range across 24 posterior team-strength states.
4 vs 20
Current mean projected league positions for Liverpool and Sunderland.
Matchweek 13
Wednesday, 2 December 2026, time provisional
MODEL DRIVERS
What shapes this prediction
Latent strength
+0.66 home differential
Venue
24% league scoring uplift
Sustainable form
-0.039 xG-trend differential
Squad inputs
+0.024 goal-rate signal
Recent results
-0.009 EWMA state differential
MATCH FAQ
Liverpool vs Sunderland prediction questions
Who is predicted to win Liverpool vs Sunderland?
Liverpool win is the strongest modelled 1X2 outcome at 67.7%. The draw is 19.8%.
What is the predicted score for Liverpool vs Sunderland?
The most likely exact score is Liverpool 2-0 Sunderland, with an estimated probability of 11.1%.
Will both teams score in Liverpool vs Sunderland?
The model gives both teams to score a 53.0% probability and over 2.5 total goals a 60.5% probability.
When is Liverpool vs Sunderland?
Liverpool vs Sunderland is scheduled for Wednesday, 2 December 2026, time provisional.
FREE ACCOUNT · NO CARD REQUIRED
Follow your club, not a generic feed
Create your account, then optionally save a Premier League club to a personalised dashboard with its projected finish, projected points and major season probabilities. The live forecast remains free to explore.
- Saved club dashboard
- Live probability view
- Member referral rewards