Arsenal 2026/27 Premier League prediction
Arsenal currently project to finish 1st on 73.6 points. This page exposes the probability range, form signal, transfer effect and next fixture prices behind that headline.
ARS
CURRENT MEAN FINISH1st
PROJECTED POINTS73.6
90% RANGE60 to 87
durable
55 points across the final 25 league matches, with 80% sustainability after underlying-performance regression.
+0.185 strength signal
5 arrivals and 11 departures are tracked. 6 carry a first-team model weight.
15th hardest
Remaining schedule index 100, labelled balanced after opponent strength and venue are combined.
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Every probability is tied to this versioned input state and 100,000 season paths.
NEXT FIVE LEAGUE FIXTURES
Arsenal match probabilities
H 29%D 26%A 44%
Modal score 1-1Full match prediction →H 58%D 23%A 19%
Modal score 1-1Full match prediction →H 17%D 23%A 60%
Modal score 1-1Full match prediction →H 26%D 26%A 48%
Modal score 1-1Full match prediction →H 68%D 20%A 12%
Modal score 2-0Full match prediction →CONFIRMED WINDOW
Arsenal transfer ledger
Rumours are excluded. This table contains confirmed movement only.
Newcastle United → Arsenal
model assessedAston Villa → Arsenal
model assessedClub Brugge → Arsenal
model assessedBayer Leverkusen → Arsenal
model assessedLeeds United → Arsenal
ledger onlyArsenal → Besiktas
model assessedArsenal → Porto
model assessedArsenal → Werder Bremen
ledger onlyArsenal → Kustosija
ledger onlyArsenal → Georgia Southern Eagles
ledger onlyArsenal → Released
ledger onlyArsenal → Released
ledger onlyArsenal → Released
ledger onlyArsenal → Released
ledger onlyArsenal → Released
ledger onlyArsenal → Released
ledger only