Brentford vs Arsenal prediction
HORIZON 6.2 makes Arsenal win the strongest outcome at 44.2%. The most likely score is 1-1, derived from 100,000 complete season paths.
BrentfordBRE57.1 projected points
ArsenalARS73.6 projected points
EXACT-SCORE MODEL
Most likely Brentford vs Arsenal scores
The modal score is useful, but the surrounding distribution is more honest. These are the five most likely exact outcomes.
12.9%
9.2%
8.9%
7.6%
7.4%
Brentford 1.21 · Arsenal 1.54
The score matrix begins with venue-adjusted expected goals before uncertainty is sampled.
26.6% to 35.0%
The Brentford home-win range across 24 posterior team-strength states.
6 vs 1
Current mean projected league positions for Brentford and Arsenal.
Matchweek 13
Wednesday, 2 December 2026, time provisional
MODEL DRIVERS
What shapes this prediction
Latent strength
-0.51 home differential
Venue
24% league scoring uplift
Sustainable form
+0.02 xG-trend differential
Squad inputs
-0.101 goal-rate signal
Recent results
+0.059 EWMA state differential
MATCH FAQ
Brentford vs Arsenal prediction questions
Who is predicted to win Brentford vs Arsenal?
Arsenal win is the strongest modelled 1X2 outcome at 44.2%. The draw is 27.0%.
What is the predicted score for Brentford vs Arsenal?
The most likely exact score is Brentford 1-1 Arsenal, with an estimated probability of 12.9%.
Will both teams score in Brentford vs Arsenal?
The model gives both teams to score a 56.0% probability and over 2.5 total goals a 51.8% probability.
When is Brentford vs Arsenal?
Brentford vs Arsenal is scheduled for Wednesday, 2 December 2026, time provisional.