Brentford 2026/27 Premier League prediction
Brentford currently project to finish 6th on 56.8 points. This page exposes the probability range, form signal, transfer effect and next fixture prices behind that headline.
BRE
CURRENT MEAN FINISH6th
PROJECTED POINTS56.8
90% RANGE44 to 69
regression-adjusted
34 points across the final 25 league matches, with 62% sustainability after underlying-performance regression.
+0.071 strength signal
7 arrivals and 17 departures are tracked. 5 carry a first-team model weight.
12th hardest
Remaining schedule index 100, labelled balanced after opponent strength and venue are combined.
d4352075
Every probability is tied to this versioned input state and 100,000 season paths.
NEXT FIVE LEAGUE FIXTURES
Brentford match probabilities
H 41%D 26%A 32%
Modal score 1-1Full match prediction →H 31%D 26%A 43%
Modal score 1-1Full match prediction →H 52%D 25%A 23%
Modal score 1-1Full match prediction →H 46%D 26%A 28%
Modal score 1-1Full match prediction →H 52%D 25%A 23%
Modal score 1-1Full match prediction →CONFIRMED WINDOW
Brentford transfer ledger
Rumours are excluded. This table contains confirmed movement only.
West Ham United → Brentford
model assessedLens → Brentford
model assessedBurnley → Brentford
model assessedRed Bull Salzburg → Brentford
model assessedChelsea → Brentford
ledger onlyWest Ham United → Brentford
ledger onlyNew York Red Bulls → Brentford
ledger onlyBrentford → Aberdeen
ledger onlyBrentford → Falkirk
ledger onlyBrentford → Coventry City
ledger onlyBrentford → Huddersfield Town
ledger onlyBrentford → Swansea City
ledger onlyBrentford → Sheffield United
ledger onlyBrentford → Falkirk
ledger onlyBrentford → WSG Tirol
ledger onlyBrentford → Released
ledger onlyBRE PROBABILITY DESK
Latest Brentford model analysis
Verified results, confirmed transfers and clearly labelled counterfactuals connected to Brentford.
result
Brentford 3-0 Chelsea: Premier League model impact
Brentford's win moves them from eighth to fifth, adds 4.3 projected points and lifts their top-six probability by 21.21 percentage points.
result
Brentford 3-0 Tottenham: Premier League model impact
The verified result applied to both clubs' current season paths.
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