Fulham vs Brentford prediction
HORIZON 6.2 makes Fulham win the strongest outcome at 38.0%. The most likely score is 1-1, derived from 100,000 complete season paths.
FulhamFUL47 projected points
BrentfordBRE57.1 projected points
EXACT-SCORE MODEL
Most likely Fulham vs Brentford scores
The modal score is useful, but the surrounding distribution is more honest. These are the five most likely exact outcomes.
11.8%
8.5%
8.3%
6.5%
6.3%
Fulham 1.56 · Brentford 1.52
The score matrix begins with venue-adjusted expected goals before uncertainty is sampled.
34.8% to 46.4%
The Fulham home-win range across 24 posterior team-strength states.
15 vs 6
Current mean projected league positions for Fulham and Brentford.
Matchweek 15
Saturday, 12 December 2026, time provisional
MODEL DRIVERS
What shapes this prediction
Latent strength
-0.1 home differential
Venue
24% league scoring uplift
Sustainable form
+0.04 xG-trend differential
Squad inputs
-0.055 goal-rate signal
Recent results
-0.123 EWMA state differential
MATCH FAQ
Fulham vs Brentford prediction questions
Who is predicted to win Fulham vs Brentford?
Fulham win is the strongest modelled 1X2 outcome at 38.0%. The draw is 25.7%.
What is the predicted score for Fulham vs Brentford?
The most likely exact score is Fulham 1-1 Brentford, with an estimated probability of 11.8%.
Will both teams score in Fulham vs Brentford?
The model gives both teams to score a 62.5% probability and over 2.5 total goals a 59.3% probability.
When is Fulham vs Brentford?
Fulham vs Brentford is scheduled for Saturday, 12 December 2026, time provisional.