Ipswich Town vs Brentford prediction
HORIZON 6.2 makes Ipswich Town win the strongest outcome at 37.3%. The most likely score is 1-1, derived from 100,000 complete season paths.
Ipswich TownIPS46.9 projected points
BrentfordBRE57.1 projected points
EXACT-SCORE MODEL
Most likely Ipswich vs Brentford scores
The modal score is useful, but the surrounding distribution is more honest. These are the five most likely exact outcomes.
12.3%
8.5%
8.3%
6.9%
6.8%
Ipswich 1.48 · Brentford 1.46
The score matrix begins with venue-adjusted expected goals before uncertainty is sampled.
28.9% to 44.7%
The Ipswich home-win range across 24 posterior team-strength states.
16 vs 6
Current mean projected league positions for Ipswich and Brentford.
Matchweek 17
Saturday, 26 December 2026, time provisional
MODEL DRIVERS
What shapes this prediction
Latent strength
-0.39 home differential
Venue
24% league scoring uplift
Sustainable form
+0.027 xG-trend differential
Squad inputs
+0.14 goal-rate signal
Recent results
-0.081 EWMA state differential
MATCH FAQ
Ipswich vs Brentford prediction questions
Who is predicted to win Ipswich Town vs Brentford?
Ipswich Town win is the strongest modelled 1X2 outcome at 37.3%. The draw is 26.4%.
What is the predicted score for Ipswich Town vs Brentford?
The most likely exact score is Ipswich Town 1-1 Brentford, with an estimated probability of 12.3%.
Will both teams score in Ipswich Town vs Brentford?
The model gives both teams to score a 60.2% probability and over 2.5 total goals a 56.3% probability.
When is Ipswich Town vs Brentford?
Ipswich Town vs Brentford is scheduled for Saturday, 26 December 2026, time provisional.