Manchester United 2026/27 Premier League prediction
Manchester United currently project to finish 5th on 58.6 points. This page exposes the probability range, form signal, transfer effect and next fixture prices behind that headline.
MUN
CURRENT MEAN FINISH5th
PROJECTED POINTS58.6
90% RANGE44 to 73
durable
50 points across the final 25 league matches, with 83% sustainability after underlying-performance regression.
+0.118 strength signal
7 arrivals and 12 departures are tracked. 9 carry a first-team model weight.
8th hardest
Remaining schedule index 101, labelled balanced after opponent strength and venue are combined.
f7087d41
Every probability is tied to this versioned input state and 100,000 season paths.
NEXT FIVE LEAGUE FIXTURES
Man Utd match probabilities
H 60%D 22%A 17%
Modal score 1-1Full match prediction →H 36%D 28%A 36%
Modal score 1-1Full match prediction →H 42%D 26%A 32%
Modal score 1-1Full match prediction →H 34%D 26%A 40%
Modal score 1-1Full match prediction →H 58%D 22%A 20%
Modal score 1-1Full match prediction →CONFIRMED WINDOW
Man Utd transfer ledger
Rumours are excluded. This table contains confirmed movement only.
Aston Villa → Manchester United
model assessedBrighton & Hove Albion → Manchester United
model assessedChelsea → Manchester United
model assessedLeeds United → Manchester United
model assessedSwansea City → Manchester United
ledger onlyFortaleza CEIF → Manchester United
ledger onlyTottenham Hotspur → Manchester United
model assessedManchester United → Celta Vigo
ledger onlyManchester United → Middlesbrough
ledger onlyManchester United → Napoli
model assessedManchester United → Stockport County
ledger onlyManchester United → Trabzonspor
model assessedManchester United → Inter Miami
model assessedManchester United → Released
ledger onlyManchester United → Released
model assessedManchester United → Released
ledger only