Manchester United vs Nottingham Forest prediction
HORIZON 6.2 makes Manchester United win the strongest outcome at 53.1%. The most likely score is 1-1, derived from 100,000 complete season paths.
Manchester UnitedMUN58.6 projected points
Nottingham ForestNFO49.9 projected points
EXACT-SCORE MODEL
Most likely Man Utd vs Nott'm Forest scores
The modal score is useful, but the surrounding distribution is more honest. These are the five most likely exact outcomes.
12.0%
9.8%
9.7%
9.3%
6.9%
Man Utd 1.76 · Nott'm Forest 1.05
The score matrix begins with venue-adjusted expected goals before uncertainty is sampled.
45.0% to 60.4%
The Man Utd home-win range across 24 posterior team-strength states.
5 vs 13
Current mean projected league positions for Man Utd and Nott'm Forest.
Matchweek 17
Saturday, 26 December 2026, time provisional
MODEL DRIVERS
What shapes this prediction
Latent strength
+0.25 home differential
Venue
24% league scoring uplift
Sustainable form
+0.024 xG-trend differential
Squad inputs
+0.047 goal-rate signal
Recent results
-0.085 EWMA state differential
MATCH FAQ
Man Utd vs Nott'm Forest prediction questions
Who is predicted to win Manchester United vs Nottingham Forest?
Manchester United win is the strongest modelled 1X2 outcome at 53.1%. The draw is 25.3%.
What is the predicted score for Manchester United vs Nottingham Forest?
The most likely exact score is Manchester United 1-1 Nottingham Forest, with an estimated probability of 12.0%.
Will both teams score in Manchester United vs Nottingham Forest?
The model gives both teams to score a 54.7% probability and over 2.5 total goals a 53.2% probability.
When is Manchester United vs Nottingham Forest?
Manchester United vs Nottingham Forest is scheduled for Saturday, 26 December 2026, time provisional.