Crystal Palace vs Manchester United prediction
HORIZON 6.2 makes Manchester United win the strongest outcome at 43.5%. The most likely score is 1-1, derived from 100,000 complete season paths.
Crystal PalaceCRY40.4 projected points
Manchester UnitedMUN58.6 projected points
EXACT-SCORE MODEL
Most likely Crystal Palace vs Man Utd scores
The modal score is useful, but the surrounding distribution is more honest. These are the five most likely exact outcomes.
12.4%
9.2%
8.0%
7.4%
7.1%
Crystal Palace 1.29 · Man Utd 1.59
The score matrix begins with venue-adjusted expected goals before uncertainty is sampled.
24.4% to 36.6%
The Crystal Palace home-win range across 24 posterior team-strength states.
18 vs 5
Current mean projected league positions for Crystal Palace and Man Utd.
Matchweek 15
Saturday, 12 December 2026, time provisional
MODEL DRIVERS
What shapes this prediction
Latent strength
-0.29 home differential
Venue
24% league scoring uplift
Sustainable form
-0.056 xG-trend differential
Squad inputs
-0.124 goal-rate signal
Recent results
-0.019 EWMA state differential
MATCH FAQ
Crystal Palace vs Man Utd prediction questions
Who is predicted to win Crystal Palace vs Manchester United?
Manchester United win is the strongest modelled 1X2 outcome at 43.5%. The draw is 26.4%.
What is the predicted score for Crystal Palace vs Manchester United?
The most likely exact score is Crystal Palace 1-1 Manchester United, with an estimated probability of 12.4%.
Will both teams score in Crystal Palace vs Manchester United?
The model gives both teams to score a 58.7% probability and over 2.5 total goals a 55.0% probability.
When is Crystal Palace vs Manchester United?
Crystal Palace vs Manchester United is scheduled for Saturday, 12 December 2026, time provisional.