Crystal Palace 2026/27 Premier League prediction
Crystal Palace currently project to finish 12th on 47.9 points. This page exposes the probability range, form signal, transfer effect and next fixture prices behind that headline.
CRY
CURRENT MEAN FINISH12th
PROJECTED POINTS47.9
90% RANGE36 to 60
volatile
25 points across the final 25 league matches, with 55% sustainability after underlying-performance regression.
+0.038 strength signal
11 arrivals and 23 departures are tracked. 12 carry a first-team model weight.
5th hardest
Remaining schedule index 101, labelled hard after opponent strength and venue are combined.
d4352075
Every probability is tied to this versioned input state and 100,000 season paths.
NEXT FIVE LEAGUE FIXTURES
Crystal Palace match probabilities
H 52%D 24%A 23%
Modal score 1-1Full match prediction →H 45%D 25%A 30%
Modal score 1-1Full match prediction →H 49%D 24%A 27%
Modal score 1-1Full match prediction →H 35%D 27%A 39%
Modal score 1-1Full match prediction →H 36%D 27%A 37%
Modal score 1-1Full match prediction →CONFIRMED WINDOW
Crystal Palace transfer ledger
Rumours are excluded. This table contains confirmed movement only.
Crystal Palace → Chelsea
model assessedChelsea → Crystal Palace
model assessedStrasbourg → Crystal Palace
model assessedMarseille → Crystal Palace
model assessedMidtjylland → Crystal Palace
model assessedAtalanta → Crystal Palace
model assessedUnion Saint-Gilloise → Crystal Palace
ledger onlyAston Villa → Crystal Palace
ledger onlyReal Salt Lake → Crystal Palace
model assessedEverton → Crystal Palace
model assessedAjax → Crystal Palace
model assessedCelta Vigo → Crystal Palace
model assessedCrystal Palace → Nottingham Forest
model assessedCrystal Palace → Everton
model assessedCrystal Palace → Al-Wahda
ledger onlyCrystal Palace → Barnet
ledger onlyCRY PROBABILITY DESK
Latest Crystal Palace model analysis
Verified results, confirmed transfers and clearly labelled counterfactuals connected to Crystal Palace.
result
Crystal Palace 3-1 Nottingham Forest: Premier League model impact
Palace move from 16th to 12th in the predicted final table and cut relegation probability from 23.01% to 10.55% after the verified home win.
result
Crystal Palace 2-3 Ipswich: Premier League model impact
Ipswich's late away win moves them from 19th to 14th, adds 4.2 projected points and cuts their relegation probability by 15.37 percentage points.
result
Fulham 2-3 Crystal Palace: Premier League model impact
Palace's away win cuts their relegation probability by 16.79 percentage points and pushes Fulham's to 32.30%.
confirmed transfer
Crystal Palace deadline-day rebuild: confirmed model impact
Five minutes-aware additions lift Palace by 2.0 projected points and reduce relegation probability by 9.83 percentage points.
FREE ACCOUNT · NO CARD REQUIRED
Follow your club, not a generic feed
Create your account, then optionally save a Premier League club to a personalised dashboard with its projected finish, projected points and major season probabilities. The live forecast remains free to explore.
- Saved club dashboard
- Live probability view
- Member referral rewards