Roma's title probability rises 3.18 points after a 5-2 win at Udinese

Roma strengthen their Serie A title case

Roma's verified 5-2 away win raises modeled title probability by 3.18 percentage points, from 13.49% to 16.67%. Their projected points rise by 1.2, from 72.4 to 73.6, while top-four probability rises from 80.25% to 84.52%.

For Udinese, modeled relegation probability rises by 4.59 points, from 30.97% to 35.56%.

Official competition evidence ↗ · Independent score corroboration ↗

Open current and predicted Serie A standings

Verification method

• Three final scores were accepted only after an official competition source and an independent second domain corroborated each result.
• Before and after runs use identical deterministic seeds, 100,000 paths, ratings, schedules and model settings; only the relevant completed scores change.
• Current standings from completed results remain separate from predicted final standings.
• No unconfirmed transfer report changes a core input.

HORIZON 6.2 · HORIZON GLOBAL 3.0 · SCORER 1.1 · 100,000 matched paths for every affected forecast · verified 31 October 2026. Probabilities are model estimates, not guarantees.