Manchester City 2026/27 Premier League prediction
Manchester City currently project to finish 2nd on 69.1 points. This page exposes the probability range, form signal, transfer effect and next fixture prices behind that headline.
MCI
CURRENT MEAN FINISH2nd
PROJECTED POINTS69.1
90% RANGE55 to 83
regression-adjusted
53 points across the final 25 league matches, with 65% sustainability after underlying-performance regression.
-0.134 strength signal
6 arrivals and 22 departures are tracked. 14 carry a first-team model weight.
20th hardest
Remaining schedule index 99, labelled favourable after opponent strength and venue are combined.
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Every probability is tied to this versioned input state and 100,000 season paths.
NEXT FIVE LEAGUE FIXTURES
Man City match probabilities
H 76%D 15%A 8%
Modal score 2-0Full match prediction →H 42%D 26%A 32%
Modal score 1-1Full match prediction →H 72%D 17%A 11%
Modal score 2-0Full match prediction →H 45%D 24%A 31%
Modal score 1-1Full match prediction →H 67%D 19%A 14%
Modal score 2-1Full match prediction →CONFIRMED WINDOW
Man City transfer ledger
Rumours are excluded. This table contains confirmed movement only.
Manchester City → Ipswich Town
ledger onlyManchester City → Leeds United
model assessedMarseille → Manchester City
ledger onlyNottingham Forest → Manchester City
model assessedLeicester City → Manchester City
model assessedSheffield Wednesday → Manchester City
ledger onlyTroyes → Manchester City
ledger onlyManchester City → Tottenham Hotspur
model assessedManchester City → Newcastle United
model assessedManchester City → Tottenham Hotspur
model assessedManchester City → Al-Qadsiah
model assessedManchester City → Barcelona
model assessedManchester City → Inter
model assessedManchester City → Fenerbahce
model assessedManchester City → Cologne
model assessedManchester City → Cologne
ledger only