+14.09 percentage points
Coventry's survival probability rises from 9.32% to 23.41% after their first league win.
Coventry's first win transforms their survival outlook
The verified 1-0 away win is locked into the current table, while matched 100,000-path forecasts isolate its effect on Coventry and Nottingham Forest.
FINAL SCOREForest 0-1 Coventry
COVENTRY RELEGATION90.68% → 76.59%
COVENTRY POINTS29.1 → 34.1
FOREST FINISH11th → 13th
29.1 → 34.1
The away win adds 5.0 points to Coventry's final-table projection.
23.54% → 10.55%
Forest's top-six probability falls by 12.99 percentage points.
3.54% → 10.22%
The home defeat raises Forest's relegation probability by 6.69 percentage points.
CURRENT TABLE
Coventry climb out of the bottom two on completed results
MATCHED-PATH METHOD
Verified final, isolated result effect
EVIDENCE
Official club records and independent match reporting
FREE ACCOUNT · NO CARD REQUIRED
Follow your club, not a generic feed
Create your account, then optionally save a Premier League club to a personalised dashboard with its projected finish, projected points and major season probabilities. The live forecast remains free to explore.
- Saved club dashboard
- Live probability view
- Member referral rewards