Nottingham Forest vs Brighton & Hove Albion prediction
HORIZON 6.2 makes Nottingham Forest win the strongest outcome at 44.7%. The most likely score is 1-1, derived from 100,000 complete season paths.
Nottingham ForestNFO49.9 projected points
Brighton & Hove AlbionBHA55.2 projected points
EXACT-SCORE MODEL
Most likely Nott'm Forest vs Brighton scores
The modal score is useful, but the surrounding distribution is more honest. These are the five most likely exact outcomes.
12.6%
9.3%
8.6%
7.5%
7.2%
Nott'm Forest 1.59 · Brighton 1.23
The score matrix begins with venue-adjusted expected goals before uncertainty is sampled.
37.3% to 49.5%
The Nott'm Forest home-win range across 24 posterior team-strength states.
13 vs 7
Current mean projected league positions for Nott'm Forest and Brighton.
Matchweek 14
Saturday, 5 December 2026, time provisional
MODEL DRIVERS
What shapes this prediction
Latent strength
-0.01 home differential
Venue
24% league scoring uplift
Sustainable form
+0.016 xG-trend differential
Squad inputs
+0.083 goal-rate signal
Recent results
-0.109 EWMA state differential
MATCH FAQ
Nott'm Forest vs Brighton prediction questions
Who is predicted to win Nottingham Forest vs Brighton & Hove Albion?
Nottingham Forest win is the strongest modelled 1X2 outcome at 44.7%. The draw is 26.6%.
What is the predicted score for Nottingham Forest vs Brighton & Hove Albion?
The most likely exact score is Nottingham Forest 1-1 Brighton & Hove Albion, with an estimated probability of 12.6%.
Will both teams score in Nottingham Forest vs Brighton & Hove Albion?
The model gives both teams to score a 57.2% probability and over 2.5 total goals a 53.4% probability.
When is Nottingham Forest vs Brighton & Hove Albion?
Nottingham Forest vs Brighton & Hove Albion is scheduled for Saturday, 5 December 2026, time provisional.