Nottingham Forest vs Brighton & Hove Albion prediction
HORIZON 6.2 makes Nottingham Forest win the strongest outcome at 39.1%. The most likely score is 1-1, derived from 100,000 complete season paths.
Nottingham ForestNFO45.8 projected points
Brighton & Hove AlbionBHA60.6 projected points
EXACT-SCORE MODEL
Most likely Nott'm Forest vs Brighton scores
The modal score is useful, but the surrounding distribution is more honest. These are the five most likely exact outcomes.
13.1%
8.7%
8.3%
7.9%
7.5%
Nott'm Forest 1.43 · Brighton 1.30
The score matrix begins with venue-adjusted expected goals before uncertainty is sampled.
33.6% to 42.9%
The Nott'm Forest home-win range across 24 posterior team-strength states.
16 vs 3
Current mean projected league positions for Nott'm Forest and Brighton.
Matchweek 14
Saturday, 5 December 2026, time provisional
MODEL DRIVERS
What shapes this prediction
Latent strength
-0.01 home differential
Venue
24% league scoring uplift
Sustainable form
+0.016 xG-trend differential
Squad inputs
+0.094 goal-rate signal
Recent results
-0.284 EWMA state differential
MATCH FAQ
Nott'm Forest vs Brighton prediction questions
Who is predicted to win Nottingham Forest vs Brighton & Hove Albion?
Nottingham Forest win is the strongest modelled 1X2 outcome at 39.1%. The draw is 27.5%.
What is the predicted score for Nottingham Forest vs Brighton & Hove Albion?
The most likely exact score is Nottingham Forest 1-1 Brighton & Hove Albion, with an estimated probability of 13.1%.
Will both teams score in Nottingham Forest vs Brighton & Hove Albion?
The model gives both teams to score a 56.4% probability and over 2.5 total goals a 51.5% probability.
When is Nottingham Forest vs Brighton & Hove Albion?
Nottingham Forest vs Brighton & Hove Albion is scheduled for Saturday, 5 December 2026, time provisional.
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