Gladbach win 3-2 at Stuttgart — and climb four predicted places
Six independently corroborated finals are locked into matched 100,000-path forecasts across the Premier League, Championship, La Liga, Bundesliga, Serie A and Ligue 1. No live score is treated as final.
STUTTGART 2-3 GLADBACHVerified final
GLADBACH RELEGATION42.10% → 30.77%
PREDICTED FINISH17th → 13th
MATCHED PATHS / COMPETITION100,000
Gladbach produce the largest Friday swing
The 3-2 away win cuts Borussia Mönchengladbach's modeled relegation risk by 11.33 percentage points, adds 2.2 projected points and moves their predicted finish from 17th to 13th. Stuttgart's top-four chance falls from 39.88% to 30.48%.
The final score is recorded by the Bundesliga's official results service and independently corroborated by LigaInsider.
SIX NEW VERIFIED FINALS
Friday results added
Largest forecast movements
| Club | Outcome | Probability | Projected points | Predicted place |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Borussia MönchengladbachBundesliga | Relegation | 42.10% → 30.77% | 35.6 → 37.8 | 17 → 13 |
| VfB StuttgartBundesliga | Top four | 39.88% → 30.48% | 56.3 → 54.2 | 5 → 5 |
| MiddlesbroughChampionship | Automatic promotion | 35.35% → 41.78% | 77.7 → 79.1 | 3 → 2 |
| Bolton WanderersChampionship | Relegation | 13.79% → 17.11% | 57.0 → 55.8 | 16 → 18 |
| Nottingham ForestPremier League | Relegation | 18.17% → 14.97% | 44.8 → 45.5 | 15 → 15 |
| Ipswich TownPremier League | Relegation | 12.96% → 15.31% | 47.6 → 46.4 | 13 → 13 |
| MonzaSerie A | Relegation | 35.24% → 41.22% | 40.2 → 39.0 | 16 → 17 |
| Stade Brestois 29Ligue 1 | Relegation | 20.00% → 26.13% | 37.9 → 36.5 | 14 → 14 |
Current and predicted tables
Each affected competition page now combines current standings calculated from completed results with the matched 100,000-path predicted final standings.
Premier League → · Championship → · La Liga → · Bundesliga → · Serie A → · Ligue 1 →
Final-only verification
- Six final scores were accepted only after two independent domains corroborated each result, with an official league or club source used wherever available.
- Before and after runs use identical deterministic seeds, 100,000 paths, ratings, schedules and model settings; only the relevant completed score changes.
- Current standings from completed results remain separate from predicted final standings.
- No unconfirmed transfer report changes a core input.
HORIZON 6.2 for the Premier League and HORIZON GLOBAL 3.0 for the other competitions · verified 23 October 2026. Probabilities are estimates, not guarantees.
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