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PREMIER LEAGUE · MATCHWEEK 16 · SATURDAY, 19 DECEMBER 2026

Nottingham Forest vs Everton prediction

HORIZON 6.2 makes Nottingham Forest win the strongest outcome at 44.6%. The most likely score is 1-1, derived from 100,000 complete season paths.

Nottingham ForestNFO45.8 projected points
MOST LIKELY SCORE1-113.4% exact-score probability
EvertonEVE50 projected points
Nott'm Forest win44.6%
Draw28.1%
Everton win27.3%
Both teams score52.1%
Over 2.5 goals47.0%
EXACT-SCORE MODEL

Most likely Nott'm Forest vs Everton scores

The modal score is useful, but the surrounding distribution is more honest. These are the five most likely exact outcomes.

#11-1

13.4%

#21-0

10.4%

#32-1

9.1%

#40-0

8.8%

#52-0

8.3%

EXPECTED GOALS

Nott'm Forest 1.46 · Everton 1.09

The score matrix begins with venue-adjusted expected goals before uncertainty is sampled.

UNCERTAINTY

41.0% to 50.8%

The Nott'm Forest home-win range across 24 posterior team-strength states.

SEASON CONTEXT

16 vs 11

Current mean projected league positions for Nott'm Forest and Everton.

KICK-OFF

Matchweek 16

Saturday, 19 December 2026, time provisional

MODEL DRIVERS

What shapes this prediction

home

Latent strength

+0.08 home differential

home

Venue

24% league scoring uplift

neutral

Sustainable form

+0.003 xG-trend differential

home

Squad inputs

+0.047 goal-rate signal

away

Recent results

-0.114 EWMA state differential

MATCH FAQ

Nott'm Forest vs Everton prediction questions

Who is predicted to win Nottingham Forest vs Everton?

Nottingham Forest win is the strongest modelled 1X2 outcome at 44.6%. The draw is 28.1%.

What is the predicted score for Nottingham Forest vs Everton?

The most likely exact score is Nottingham Forest 1-1 Everton, with an estimated probability of 13.4%.

Will both teams score in Nottingham Forest vs Everton?

The model gives both teams to score a 52.1% probability and over 2.5 total goals a 47.0% probability.

When is Nottingham Forest vs Everton?

Nottingham Forest vs Everton is scheduled for Saturday, 19 December 2026, time provisional.

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