Everton 2026/27 Premier League prediction
Everton currently project to finish 12th on 50.2 points. This page exposes the probability range, form signal, transfer effect and next fixture prices behind that headline.
EVE
CURRENT MEAN FINISH12th
PROJECTED POINTS50.2
90% RANGE36 to 64
durable
31 points across the final 25 league matches, with 78% sustainability after underlying-performance regression.
+0.032 strength signal
4 arrivals and 17 departures are tracked. 7 carry a first-team model weight.
6th hardest
Remaining schedule index 101, labelled balanced after opponent strength and venue are combined.
f7087d41
Every probability is tied to this versioned input state and 100,000 season paths.
NEXT FIVE LEAGUE FIXTURES
Everton match probabilities
H 36%D 28%A 36%
Modal score 1-1Full match prediction →H 47%D 25%A 28%
Modal score 1-1Full match prediction →H 49%D 26%A 24%
Modal score 1-1Full match prediction →H 35%D 29%A 36%
Modal score 1-1Full match prediction →H 34%D 27%A 39%
Modal score 1-1Full match prediction →CONFIRMED WINDOW
Everton transfer ledger
Rumours are excluded. This table contains confirmed movement only.
Chelsea → Everton
model assessedEverton → Crystal Palace
model assessedCrystal Palace → Everton
model assessedMiddlesbrough → Everton
model assessedFreiburg → Everton
model assessedEverton → Cagliari
ledger onlyEverton → Cukaricki
ledger onlyEverton → Stockport County
ledger onlyEverton → Cambridge United
ledger onlyEverton → Doncaster Rovers
ledger onlyEverton → Released
model assessedEverton → Released
ledger onlyEverton → Released
model assessedEverton → Released
ledger onlyEverton → Released
ledger onlyEverton → Released
ledger only