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EVE FORECAST · UPDATED 12 OCTOBER 2026

Everton 2026/27 Premier League prediction

Everton currently project to finish 11th on 50 points. This page exposes the probability range, form signal, transfer effect and next fixture prices behind that headline.

EVE
CURRENT MEAN FINISH11th
PROJECTED POINTS50
90% RANGE38 to 62
Title0.1%
Top four5.6%
Top six15.3%
Relegation7.4%
FORM

durable

31 points across the final 25 league matches, with 78% sustainability after underlying-performance regression.

TRANSFERS

+0.038 strength signal

7 arrivals and 21 departures are tracked. 13 carry a first-team model weight.

SCHEDULE

1st hardest

Remaining schedule index 102, labelled hard after opponent strength and venue are combined.

RUN HASH

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Every probability is tied to this versioned input state and 100,000 season paths.

NEXT FIVE LEAGUE FIXTURES

Everton match probabilities

CONFIRMED WINDOW

Everton transfer ledger

Rumours are excluded. This table contains confirmed movement only.

MIDChristian Nørgaard

Arsenal → Everton

model assessed
FWDTyrique George

Chelsea → Everton

model assessed
MIDDwight McNeil

Everton → Crystal Palace

model assessed
FWDBrennan Johnson

Crystal Palace → Everton

model assessed
MIDHayden Hackney

Middlesbrough → Everton

model assessed
MIDMerlin Rohl

Freiburg → Everton

model assessed
FWDJack Grealish

Manchester City → Everton

model assessed
MIDAinsley Maitland-Niles

Lyon → Everton

model assessed
FWDIliman Ndiaye

Everton → Manchester City

model assessed
FWDBeto

Everton → Fiorentina

model assessed
DEFNathan Patterson

Everton → Torino

ledger only
UNKDemi Akarakiri

Everton → Cagliari

ledger only
UNKCoby Ebere

Everton → Cukaricki

ledger only
UNKGoodness Gospel-Eze

Everton → Stockport County

ledger only
UNKIsaac Heath

Everton → Cambridge United

ledger only
UNKFrancis Okoronkwo

Everton → Doncaster Rovers

ledger only
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