Everton vs Fulham prediction
HORIZON 6.2 makes Everton win the strongest outcome at 48.6%. The most likely score is 1-1, derived from 100,000 complete season paths.
EvertonEVE50.3 projected points
FulhamFUL45 projected points
EXACT-SCORE MODEL
Most likely Everton vs Fulham scores
The modal score is useful, but the surrounding distribution is more honest. These are the five most likely exact outcomes.
12.4%
9.6%
9.2%
8.4%
7.0%
Everton 1.66 · Fulham 1.14
The score matrix begins with venue-adjusted expected goals before uncertainty is sampled.
41.3% to 52.9%
The Everton home-win range across 24 posterior team-strength states.
12 vs 16
Current mean projected league positions for Everton and Fulham.
Matchweek 14
Saturday, 5 December 2026, time provisional
MODEL DRIVERS
What shapes this prediction
Latent strength
-0.02 home differential
Venue
24% league scoring uplift
Sustainable form
-0.015 xG-trend differential
Squad inputs
+0.016 goal-rate signal
Recent results
+0.111 EWMA state differential
MATCH FAQ
Everton vs Fulham prediction questions
Who is predicted to win Everton vs Fulham?
Everton win is the strongest modelled 1X2 outcome at 48.6%. The draw is 26.2%.
What is the predicted score for Everton vs Fulham?
The most likely exact score is Everton 1-1 Fulham, with an estimated probability of 12.4%.
Will both teams score in Everton vs Fulham?
The model gives both teams to score a 56.0% probability and over 2.5 total goals a 53.1% probability.
When is Everton vs Fulham?
Everton vs Fulham is scheduled for Saturday, 5 December 2026, time provisional.