Brighton & Hove Albion vs Everton prediction
HORIZON 6.2 makes Brighton & Hove Albion win the strongest outcome at 47.3%. The most likely score is 1-1, derived from 100,000 complete season paths.
Brighton & Hove AlbionBHA55.2 projected points
EvertonEVE50.2 projected points
EXACT-SCORE MODEL
Most likely Brighton vs Everton scores
The modal score is useful, but the surrounding distribution is more honest. These are the five most likely exact outcomes.
12.7%
9.4%
9.4%
8.3%
7.3%
Brighton 1.61 · Everton 1.14
The score matrix begins with venue-adjusted expected goals before uncertainty is sampled.
43.0% to 54.9%
The Brighton home-win range across 24 posterior team-strength states.
7 vs 12
Current mean projected league positions for Brighton and Everton.
Matchweek 15
Saturday, 12 December 2026, time provisional
MODEL DRIVERS
What shapes this prediction
Latent strength
+0.09 home differential
Venue
24% league scoring uplift
Sustainable form
-0.013 xG-trend differential
Squad inputs
-0.045 goal-rate signal
Recent results
+0.049 EWMA state differential
MATCH FAQ
Brighton vs Everton prediction questions
Who is predicted to win Brighton & Hove Albion vs Everton?
Brighton & Hove Albion win is the strongest modelled 1X2 outcome at 47.3%. The draw is 26.6%.
What is the predicted score for Brighton & Hove Albion vs Everton?
The most likely exact score is Brighton & Hove Albion 1-1 Everton, with an estimated probability of 12.7%.
Will both teams score in Brighton & Hove Albion vs Everton?
The model gives both teams to score a 55.3% probability and over 2.5 total goals a 51.8% probability.
When is Brighton & Hove Albion vs Everton?
Brighton & Hove Albion vs Everton is scheduled for Saturday, 12 December 2026, time provisional.