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VERIFIED RESULT · PREMIER LEAGUE

Hull stay unbeaten, but the goalless draw nudges their survival outlook the wrong way

The 0-0 final score is locked into the live Premier League table. Matched 100,000-path forecasts isolate the impact on both clubs' projected seasons.

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FINAL SCOREHull 0-0 Villa
HULL POINTS43.6 → 42.6
HULL RELEGATION31.85% → 34.68%
HULL FINISH16th → 19th
HULL SURVIVAL SWING

+2.83 pts

Their relegation probability rises by 2.83 percentage points.

HULL POSITION

16th → 19th

The mean projected finish falls three places.

VILLA POINTS

+0.2 points

Villa move from 51.0 to 51.2 projected points.

VILLA SURVIVAL

7.54% → 6.47%

Their relegation probability falls by 1.07 percentage points.

MATCHED-PATH METHOD

Same seed, one newly completed result

ASSUMPTION 1The before run leaves Hull City v Aston Villa unresolved. The after run locks the verified 0-0 final score.100,000 paths · seed 260827
ASSUMPTION 2Both forecasts use seed 260827 and 100,000 paths, with every other sporting input held constant.100,000 paths · seed 260827
ASSUMPTION 3The completed result updates the current table separately from the predicted final standings.100,000 paths · seed 260827
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