AFC Bournemouth vs Hull City prediction
HORIZON 6.2 makes AFC Bournemouth win the strongest outcome at 58.1%. The most likely score is 1-1, derived from 100,000 complete season paths.
AFC BournemouthBOU45.9 projected points
Hull CityHUL40.9 projected points
EXACT-SCORE MODEL
Most likely Bournemouth vs Hull scores
The modal score is useful, but the surrounding distribution is more honest. These are the five most likely exact outcomes.
10.8%
9.9%
9.4%
8.6%
6.6%
Bournemouth 1.99 · Hull 1.06
The score matrix begins with venue-adjusted expected goals before uncertainty is sampled.
48.9% to 66.2%
The Bournemouth home-win range across 24 posterior team-strength states.
15 vs 18
Current mean projected league positions for Bournemouth and Hull.
Matchweek 14
Saturday, 5 December 2026, time provisional
MODEL DRIVERS
What shapes this prediction
Latent strength
+0.66 home differential
Venue
24% league scoring uplift
Sustainable form
-0.011 xG-trend differential
Squad inputs
-0.132 goal-rate signal
Recent results
-0.138 EWMA state differential
MATCH FAQ
Bournemouth vs Hull prediction questions
Who is predicted to win AFC Bournemouth vs Hull City?
AFC Bournemouth win is the strongest modelled 1X2 outcome at 58.1%. The draw is 23.0%.
What is the predicted score for AFC Bournemouth vs Hull City?
The most likely exact score is AFC Bournemouth 1-1 Hull City, with an estimated probability of 10.8%.
Will both teams score in AFC Bournemouth vs Hull City?
The model gives both teams to score a 57.3% probability and over 2.5 total goals a 58.8% probability.
When is AFC Bournemouth vs Hull City?
AFC Bournemouth vs Hull City is scheduled for Saturday, 5 December 2026, time provisional.
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