Liverpool vs Tottenham Hotspur prediction
HORIZON 6.2 makes Liverpool win the strongest outcome at 60.9%. The most likely score is 2-1, derived from 100,000 complete season paths.
LiverpoolLIV59.9 projected points
Tottenham HotspurTOT49.8 projected points
EXACT-SCORE MODEL
Most likely Liverpool vs Tottenham scores
The modal score is useful, but the surrounding distribution is more honest. These are the five most likely exact outcomes.
9.4%
8.7%
7.5%
7.4%
6.0%
Liverpool 2.35 · Tottenham 1.26
The score matrix begins with venue-adjusted expected goals before uncertainty is sampled.
50.0% to 65.5%
The Liverpool home-win range across 24 posterior team-strength states.
4 vs 14
Current mean projected league positions for Liverpool and Tottenham.
Matchweek 16
Saturday, 19 December 2026, time provisional
MODEL DRIVERS
What shapes this prediction
Latent strength
+0.39 home differential
Venue
24% league scoring uplift
Sustainable form
-0.036 xG-trend differential
Squad inputs
-0.098 goal-rate signal
Recent results
+0.061 EWMA state differential
MATCH FAQ
Liverpool vs Tottenham prediction questions
Who is predicted to win Liverpool vs Tottenham Hotspur?
Liverpool win is the strongest modelled 1X2 outcome at 60.9%. The draw is 20.3%.
What is the predicted score for Liverpool vs Tottenham Hotspur?
The most likely exact score is Liverpool 2-1 Tottenham Hotspur, with an estimated probability of 9.4%.
Will both teams score in Liverpool vs Tottenham Hotspur?
The model gives both teams to score a 65.5% probability and over 2.5 total goals a 69.9% probability.
When is Liverpool vs Tottenham Hotspur?
Liverpool vs Tottenham Hotspur is scheduled for Saturday, 19 December 2026, time provisional.