Liverpool vs Tottenham Hotspur prediction
HORIZON 6.2 makes Liverpool win the strongest outcome at 57.6%. The most likely score is 1-1, derived from 100,000 complete season paths.
LiverpoolLIV59.9 projected points
Tottenham HotspurTOT46.2 projected points
EXACT-SCORE MODEL
Most likely Liverpool vs Tottenham scores
The modal score is useful, but the surrounding distribution is more honest. These are the five most likely exact outcomes.
10.3%
9.9%
8.6%
7.6%
6.8%
Liverpool 2.06 · Tottenham 1.15
The score matrix begins with venue-adjusted expected goals before uncertainty is sampled.
49.4% to 60.9%
The Liverpool home-win range across 24 posterior team-strength states.
4 vs 14
Current mean projected league positions for Liverpool and Tottenham.
Matchweek 16
Saturday, 19 December 2026, time provisional
MODEL DRIVERS
What shapes this prediction
Latent strength
+0.39 home differential
Venue
24% league scoring uplift
Sustainable form
-0.036 xG-trend differential
Squad inputs
-0.015 goal-rate signal
Recent results
-0.057 EWMA state differential
MATCH FAQ
Liverpool vs Tottenham prediction questions
Who is predicted to win Liverpool vs Tottenham Hotspur?
Liverpool win is the strongest modelled 1X2 outcome at 57.6%. The draw is 22.5%.
What is the predicted score for Liverpool vs Tottenham Hotspur?
The most likely exact score is Liverpool 1-1 Tottenham Hotspur, with an estimated probability of 10.3%.
Will both teams score in Liverpool vs Tottenham Hotspur?
The model gives both teams to score a 60.3% probability and over 2.5 total goals a 62.1% probability.
When is Liverpool vs Tottenham Hotspur?
Liverpool vs Tottenham Hotspur is scheduled for Saturday, 19 December 2026, time provisional.
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