Tottenham Hotspur vs AFC Bournemouth prediction
HORIZON 6.2 makes Tottenham Hotspur win the strongest outcome at 43.7%. The most likely score is 1-1, derived from 100,000 complete season paths.
Tottenham HotspurTOT49.8 projected points
AFC BournemouthBOU51.4 projected points
EXACT-SCORE MODEL
Most likely Tottenham vs Bournemouth scores
The modal score is useful, but the surrounding distribution is more honest. These are the five most likely exact outcomes.
11.0%
9.0%
7.5%
6.6%
6.1%
Tottenham 1.76 · Bournemouth 1.48
The score matrix begins with venue-adjusted expected goals before uncertainty is sampled.
36.5% to 51.1%
The Tottenham home-win range across 24 posterior team-strength states.
14 vs 11
Current mean projected league positions for Tottenham and Bournemouth.
Matchweek 17
Saturday, 26 December 2026, time provisional
MODEL DRIVERS
What shapes this prediction
Latent strength
-0.11 home differential
Venue
24% league scoring uplift
Sustainable form
+0.025 xG-trend differential
Squad inputs
+0.056 goal-rate signal
Recent results
-0.068 EWMA state differential
MATCH FAQ
Tottenham vs Bournemouth prediction questions
Who is predicted to win Tottenham Hotspur vs AFC Bournemouth?
Tottenham Hotspur win is the strongest modelled 1X2 outcome at 43.7%. The draw is 24.7%.
What is the predicted score for Tottenham Hotspur vs AFC Bournemouth?
The most likely exact score is Tottenham Hotspur 1-1 AFC Bournemouth, with an estimated probability of 11.0%.
Will both teams score in Tottenham Hotspur vs AFC Bournemouth?
The model gives both teams to score a 64.8% probability and over 2.5 total goals a 62.8% probability.
When is Tottenham Hotspur vs AFC Bournemouth?
Tottenham Hotspur vs AFC Bournemouth is scheduled for Saturday, 26 December 2026, time provisional.