Ipswich Town vs Newcastle United prediction
HORIZON 6.2 makes Ipswich Town win the strongest outcome at 39.2%. The most likely score is 1-1, derived from 100,000 complete season paths.
Ipswich TownIPS46.9 projected points
Newcastle UnitedNEW54.1 projected points
EXACT-SCORE MODEL
Most likely Ipswich vs Newcastle scores
The modal score is useful, but the surrounding distribution is more honest. These are the five most likely exact outcomes.
11.9%
8.7%
8.1%
6.6%
6.4%
Ipswich 1.57 · Newcastle 1.47
The score matrix begins with venue-adjusted expected goals before uncertainty is sampled.
29.0% to 47.2%
The Ipswich home-win range across 24 posterior team-strength states.
16 vs 9
Current mean projected league positions for Ipswich and Newcastle.
Matchweek 15
Saturday, 12 December 2026, time provisional
MODEL DRIVERS
What shapes this prediction
Latent strength
-0.53 home differential
Venue
24% league scoring uplift
Sustainable form
+0.004 xG-trend differential
Squad inputs
+0.257 goal-rate signal
Recent results
+0.015 EWMA state differential
MATCH FAQ
Ipswich vs Newcastle prediction questions
Who is predicted to win Ipswich Town vs Newcastle United?
Ipswich Town win is the strongest modelled 1X2 outcome at 39.2%. The draw is 25.9%.
What is the predicted score for Ipswich Town vs Newcastle United?
The most likely exact score is Ipswich Town 1-1 Newcastle United, with an estimated probability of 11.9%.
Will both teams score in Ipswich Town vs Newcastle United?
The model gives both teams to score a 61.8% probability and over 2.5 total goals a 58.5% probability.
When is Ipswich Town vs Newcastle United?
Ipswich Town vs Newcastle United is scheduled for Saturday, 12 December 2026, time provisional.