Leeds United vs Ipswich Town prediction
HORIZON 6.2 makes Leeds United win the strongest outcome at 50.2%. The most likely score is 1-1, derived from 100,000 complete season paths.
Leeds UnitedLEE51.8 projected points
Ipswich TownIPS46.9 projected points
EXACT-SCORE MODEL
Most likely Leeds vs Ipswich scores
The modal score is useful, but the surrounding distribution is more honest. These are the five most likely exact outcomes.
12.2%
9.7%
9.1%
8.6%
6.7%
Leeds 1.71 · Ipswich 1.13
The score matrix begins with venue-adjusted expected goals before uncertainty is sampled.
39.6% to 60.7%
The Leeds home-win range across 24 posterior team-strength states.
10 vs 16
Current mean projected league positions for Leeds and Ipswich.
Matchweek 14
Saturday, 5 December 2026, time provisional
MODEL DRIVERS
What shapes this prediction
Latent strength
+0.2 home differential
Venue
24% league scoring uplift
Sustainable form
+0.024 xG-trend differential
Squad inputs
-0.12 goal-rate signal
Recent results
+0.038 EWMA state differential
MATCH FAQ
Leeds vs Ipswich prediction questions
Who is predicted to win Leeds United vs Ipswich Town?
Leeds United win is the strongest modelled 1X2 outcome at 50.2%. The draw is 25.7%.
What is the predicted score for Leeds United vs Ipswich Town?
The most likely exact score is Leeds United 1-1 Ipswich Town, with an estimated probability of 12.2%.
Will both teams score in Leeds United vs Ipswich Town?
The model gives both teams to score a 56.3% probability and over 2.5 total goals a 54.0% probability.
When is Leeds United vs Ipswich Town?
Leeds United vs Ipswich Town is scheduled for Saturday, 5 December 2026, time provisional.