Leeds United 2026/27 Premier League prediction
Leeds United currently project to finish 10th on 51.8 points. This page exposes the probability range, form signal, transfer effect and next fixture prices behind that headline.
LEE
CURRENT MEAN FINISH10th
PROJECTED POINTS51.8
90% RANGE37 to 66
regression-adjusted
36 points across the final 25 league matches, with 74% sustainability after underlying-performance regression.
+0.091 strength signal
3 arrivals and 11 departures are tracked. 7 carry a first-team model weight.
5th hardest
Remaining schedule index 101, labelled hard after opponent strength and venue are combined.
f7087d41
Every probability is tied to this versioned input state and 100,000 season paths.
NEXT FIVE LEAGUE FIXTURES
Leeds match probabilities
H 40%D 27%A 32%
Modal score 1-1Full match prediction →H 47%D 26%A 26%
Modal score 1-1Full match prediction →H 43%D 27%A 31%
Modal score 1-1Full match prediction →H 53%D 25%A 22%
Modal score 1-1Full match prediction →H 68%D 20%A 12%
Modal score 2-0Full match prediction →CONFIRMED WINDOW
Leeds transfer ledger
Rumours are excluded. This table contains confirmed movement only.
Leeds United → Arsenal
ledger onlyLeeds United → Brighton & Hove Albion
model assessedFulham → Leeds United
model assessedManchester City → Leeds United
model assessedSassuolo → Leeds United
model assessedLeeds United → Manchester United
model assessedLeeds United → Sheffield Wednesday
ledger onlyLeeds United → Released
ledger onlyLeeds United → Released
ledger onlyLeeds United → Released
ledger onlyLeeds United → Released
ledger onlyLeeds United → Young Boys
ledger onlyLeeds United → Schalke 04
model assessedLeeds United → New England Revolution
model assessed