Leeds United vs Fulham prediction
HORIZON 6.2 makes Leeds United win the strongest outcome at 49.4%. The most likely score is 1-1, derived from 100,000 complete season paths.
Leeds UnitedLEE51.8 projected points
FulhamFUL47 projected points
EXACT-SCORE MODEL
Most likely Leeds vs Fulham scores
The modal score is useful, but the surrounding distribution is more honest. These are the five most likely exact outcomes.
11.7%
9.6%
8.0%
7.8%
6.6%
Leeds 1.78 · Fulham 1.23
The score matrix begins with venue-adjusted expected goals before uncertainty is sampled.
38.2% to 59.7%
The Leeds home-win range across 24 posterior team-strength states.
10 vs 15
Current mean projected league positions for Leeds and Fulham.
Matchweek 16
Saturday, 19 December 2026, time provisional
MODEL DRIVERS
What shapes this prediction
Latent strength
-0.09 home differential
Venue
24% league scoring uplift
Sustainable form
+0.011 xG-trend differential
Squad inputs
+0.075 goal-rate signal
Recent results
+0.081 EWMA state differential
MATCH FAQ
Leeds vs Fulham prediction questions
Who is predicted to win Leeds United vs Fulham?
Leeds United win is the strongest modelled 1X2 outcome at 49.4%. The draw is 25.0%.
What is the predicted score for Leeds United vs Fulham?
The most likely exact score is Leeds United 1-1 Fulham, with an estimated probability of 11.7%.
Will both teams score in Leeds United vs Fulham?
The model gives both teams to score a 59.6% probability and over 2.5 total goals a 57.7% probability.
When is Leeds United vs Fulham?
Leeds United vs Fulham is scheduled for Saturday, 19 December 2026, time provisional.