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PREMIER LEAGUE · MATCHWEEK 13 · WEDNESDAY, 2 DECEMBER 2026

Coventry City vs Ipswich Town prediction

HORIZON 6.2 makes Coventry City win the strongest outcome at 38.3%. The most likely score is 1-1, derived from 100,000 complete season paths.

Coventry CityCOV38.1 projected points
MOST LIKELY SCORE1-112.9% exact-score probability
Ipswich TownIPS47.6 projected points
Coventry win38.3%
Draw27.2%
Ipswich win34.5%
Both teams score57.5%
Over 2.5 goals52.9%
EXACT-SCORE MODEL

Most likely Coventry vs Ipswich scores

The modal score is useful, but the surrounding distribution is more honest. These are the five most likely exact outcomes.

#11-1

12.9%

#22-1

8.6%

#31-2

8.1%

#41-0

7.9%

#50-1

7.3%

EXPECTED GOALS

Coventry 1.44 · Ipswich 1.35

The score matrix begins with venue-adjusted expected goals before uncertainty is sampled.

UNCERTAINTY

32.8% to 45.5%

The Coventry home-win range across 24 posterior team-strength states.

SEASON CONTEXT

19 vs 13

Current mean projected league positions for Coventry and Ipswich.

KICK-OFF

Matchweek 13

Wednesday, 2 December 2026, time provisional

MODEL DRIVERS

What shapes this prediction

away

Latent strength

-0.08 home differential

home

Venue

24% league scoring uplift

neutral

Sustainable form

+0 xG-trend differential

away

Squad inputs

-0.21 goal-rate signal

home

Recent results

+0.047 EWMA state differential

MATCH FAQ

Coventry vs Ipswich prediction questions

Who is predicted to win Coventry City vs Ipswich Town?

Coventry City win is the strongest modelled 1X2 outcome at 38.3%. The draw is 27.2%.

What is the predicted score for Coventry City vs Ipswich Town?

The most likely exact score is Coventry City 1-1 Ipswich Town, with an estimated probability of 12.9%.

Will both teams score in Coventry City vs Ipswich Town?

The model gives both teams to score a 57.5% probability and over 2.5 total goals a 52.9% probability.

When is Coventry City vs Ipswich Town?

Coventry City vs Ipswich Town is scheduled for Wednesday, 2 December 2026, time provisional.

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