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PREMIER LEAGUE · MATCHWEEK 13 · WEDNESDAY, 2 DECEMBER 2026

Coventry City vs Ipswich Town prediction

HORIZON 6.2 makes Ipswich Town win the strongest outcome at 37.6%. The most likely score is 1-1, derived from 100,000 complete season paths.

Coventry CityCOV32.2 projected points
MOST LIKELY SCORE1-113.1% exact-score probability
Ipswich TownIPS46.9 projected points
Coventry win34.9%
Draw27.5%
Ipswich win37.6%
Both teams score56.6%
Over 2.5 goals51.6%
EXACT-SCORE MODEL

Most likely Coventry vs Ipswich scores

The modal score is useful, but the surrounding distribution is more honest. These are the five most likely exact outcomes.

#11-1

13.1%

#21-2

8.5%

#32-1

8.1%

#40-1

8.1%

#51-0

7.7%

EXPECTED GOALS

Coventry 1.34 · Ipswich 1.40

The score matrix begins with venue-adjusted expected goals before uncertainty is sampled.

UNCERTAINTY

27.7% to 43.9%

The Coventry home-win range across 24 posterior team-strength states.

SEASON CONTEXT

20 vs 16

Current mean projected league positions for Coventry and Ipswich.

KICK-OFF

Matchweek 13

Wednesday, 2 December 2026, time provisional

MODEL DRIVERS

What shapes this prediction

away

Latent strength

-0.08 home differential

home

Venue

24% league scoring uplift

neutral

Sustainable form

+0 xG-trend differential

away

Squad inputs

-0.186 goal-rate signal

away

Recent results

-0.081 EWMA state differential

MATCH FAQ

Coventry vs Ipswich prediction questions

Who is predicted to win Coventry City vs Ipswich Town?

Ipswich Town win is the strongest modelled 1X2 outcome at 37.6%. The draw is 27.5%.

What is the predicted score for Coventry City vs Ipswich Town?

The most likely exact score is Coventry City 1-1 Ipswich Town, with an estimated probability of 13.1%.

Will both teams score in Coventry City vs Ipswich Town?

The model gives both teams to score a 56.6% probability and over 2.5 total goals a 51.6% probability.

When is Coventry City vs Ipswich Town?

Coventry City vs Ipswich Town is scheduled for Wednesday, 2 December 2026, time provisional.