Coventry City 2026/27 Premier League prediction
Coventry City currently project to finish 20th on 32.2 points. This page exposes the probability range, form signal, transfer effect and next fixture prices behind that headline.
COV
CURRENT MEAN FINISH20th
PROJECTED POINTS32.2
90% RANGE19 to 45
Promoted prior
No unadjusted Championship form is copied into the Premier League baseline. A league-strength-adjusted promoted prior is used instead.
+0.042 strength signal
8 arrivals and 11 departures are tracked. 6 carry a first-team model weight.
3rd hardest
Remaining schedule index 102, labelled hard after opponent strength and venue are combined.
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Every probability is tied to this versioned input state and 100,000 season paths.
NEXT FIVE LEAGUE FIXTURES
Coventry match probabilities
H 76%D 15%A 8%
Modal score 2-0Full match prediction →H 29%D 26%A 44%
Modal score 1-1Full match prediction →H 62%D 23%A 15%
Modal score 2-0Full match prediction →H 28%D 26%A 46%
Modal score 1-1Full match prediction →H 64%D 20%A 16%
Modal score 2-1Full match prediction →CONFIRMED WINDOW
Coventry transfer ledger
Rumours are excluded. This table contains confirmed movement only.
Brentford → Coventry City
ledger onlyBrighton & Hove Albion → Coventry City
ledger onlyFenerbahçe → Coventry City
model assessedNottingham Forest → Coventry City
model assessedFC Nordsjælland → Coventry City
model assessedBurnley → Coventry City
ledger onlyEintracht Frankfurt → Coventry City
model assessedSheffield United → Coventry City
model assessedCoventry City → Bristol City
ledger onlyCoventry City → Alfreton Town
ledger onlyCoventry City → UAB Blazers
ledger onlyCoventry City → Walsall
ledger onlyCoventry City → Released
ledger onlyCoventry City → Released
ledger onlyCoventry City → Released
ledger onlyCoventry City → Released
ledger only