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PREMIER LEAGUE · MATCHWEEK 13 · WEDNESDAY, 2 DECEMBER 2026

Tottenham Hotspur vs Fulham prediction

HORIZON 6.2 makes Tottenham Hotspur win the strongest outcome at 49.6%. The most likely score is 1-1, derived from 100,000 complete season paths.

Tottenham HotspurTOT46.2 projected points
MOST LIKELY SCORE1-111.4% exact-score probability
FulhamFUL42.6 projected points
Tottenham win49.6%
Draw24.6%
Fulham win25.7%
Both teams score61.0%
Over 2.5 goals59.5%
EXACT-SCORE MODEL

Most likely Tottenham vs Fulham scores

The modal score is useful, but the surrounding distribution is more honest. These are the five most likely exact outcomes.

#11-1

11.4%

#22-1

9.6%

#32-0

7.6%

#41-0

7.5%

#51-2

6.7%

EXPECTED GOALS

Tottenham 1.82 · Fulham 1.26

The score matrix begins with venue-adjusted expected goals before uncertainty is sampled.

UNCERTAINTY

43.0% to 56.0%

The Tottenham home-win range across 24 posterior team-strength states.

SEASON CONTEXT

14 vs 17

Current mean projected league positions for Tottenham and Fulham.

KICK-OFF

Matchweek 13

Wednesday, 2 December 2026, time provisional

MODEL DRIVERS

What shapes this prediction

home

Latent strength

+0.06 home differential

home

Venue

24% league scoring uplift

neutral

Sustainable form

+0.001 xG-trend differential

neutral

Squad inputs

+0.011 goal-rate signal

home

Recent results

+0.02 EWMA state differential

MATCH FAQ

Tottenham vs Fulham prediction questions

Who is predicted to win Tottenham Hotspur vs Fulham?

Tottenham Hotspur win is the strongest modelled 1X2 outcome at 49.6%. The draw is 24.6%.

What is the predicted score for Tottenham Hotspur vs Fulham?

The most likely exact score is Tottenham Hotspur 1-1 Fulham, with an estimated probability of 11.4%.

Will both teams score in Tottenham Hotspur vs Fulham?

The model gives both teams to score a 61.0% probability and over 2.5 total goals a 59.5% probability.

When is Tottenham Hotspur vs Fulham?

Tottenham Hotspur vs Fulham is scheduled for Wednesday, 2 December 2026, time provisional.

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