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PREMIER LEAGUE · MATCHWEEK 13 · WEDNESDAY, 2 DECEMBER 2026

Tottenham Hotspur vs Fulham prediction

HORIZON 6.2 makes Tottenham Hotspur win the strongest outcome at 51.0%. The most likely score is 1-1, derived from 100,000 complete season paths.

Tottenham HotspurTOT49.8 projected points
MOST LIKELY SCORE1-19.9% exact-score probability
FulhamFUL47 projected points
Tottenham win51.0%
Draw22.9%
Fulham win26.0%
Both teams score66.5%
Over 2.5 goals66.9%
EXACT-SCORE MODEL

Most likely Tottenham vs Fulham scores

The modal score is useful, but the surrounding distribution is more honest. These are the five most likely exact outcomes.

#11-1

9.9%

#22-1

9.3%

#32-2

6.6%

#42-0

6.6%

#51-2

6.5%

EXPECTED GOALS

Tottenham 2.03 · Fulham 1.42

The score matrix begins with venue-adjusted expected goals before uncertainty is sampled.

UNCERTAINTY

41.5% to 59.3%

The Tottenham home-win range across 24 posterior team-strength states.

SEASON CONTEXT

14 vs 15

Current mean projected league positions for Tottenham and Fulham.

KICK-OFF

Matchweek 13

Wednesday, 2 December 2026, time provisional

MODEL DRIVERS

What shapes this prediction

home

Latent strength

+0.06 home differential

home

Venue

24% league scoring uplift

neutral

Sustainable form

+0.001 xG-trend differential

home

Squad inputs

+0.088 goal-rate signal

away

Recent results

-0.063 EWMA state differential

MATCH FAQ

Tottenham vs Fulham prediction questions

Who is predicted to win Tottenham Hotspur vs Fulham?

Tottenham Hotspur win is the strongest modelled 1X2 outcome at 51.0%. The draw is 22.9%.

What is the predicted score for Tottenham Hotspur vs Fulham?

The most likely exact score is Tottenham Hotspur 1-1 Fulham, with an estimated probability of 9.9%.

Will both teams score in Tottenham Hotspur vs Fulham?

The model gives both teams to score a 66.5% probability and over 2.5 total goals a 66.9% probability.

When is Tottenham Hotspur vs Fulham?

Tottenham Hotspur vs Fulham is scheduled for Wednesday, 2 December 2026, time provisional.