What are the Premier League Matchweek 5 predictions?
The page lists 10 scheduled fixtures with modelled home, draw and away probabilities. Completed matches are shown only as verified results.
Premier League Matchweek 5 predictions
10 remaining fixtures are resolved through 100,000 complete season paths. Completed matches are shown as results, never as 100% pre-match predictions.
FIXTURES10
SEASON PATHS100,000
MODELHORIZON 6.2
UPDATED28 August 2026
ROUND FORECAST AND RESULTS
All Matchweek 5 fixtures
Scheduled fixtures show direct simulation counts. Completed fixtures show the final score only because a resolved 100% state is not a historical prediction.
Friday, 18 September 2026 at 20:001-1Full Brentford vs Chelsea prediction →Saturday, 19 September 2026 at 12:301-1Full Tottenham vs Aston Villa prediction →Saturday, 19 September 2026 at 15:001-1Full Brighton vs Arsenal prediction →Saturday, 19 September 2026 at 15:001-1Full Everton vs Ipswich prediction →Saturday, 19 September 2026 at 15:001-1Full Leeds vs Crystal Palace prediction →Saturday, 19 September 2026 at 15:002-0Full Man City vs Sunderland prediction →Saturday, 19 September 2026 at 15:001-1Full Newcastle vs Hull prediction →Saturday, 19 September 2026 at 17:302-0Full Nott'm Forest vs Coventry prediction →Sunday, 20 September 2026 at 14:001-1Full Bournemouth vs Liverpool prediction →Sunday, 20 September 2026 at 16:301-1Full Fulham vs Man Utd prediction →
Brentford vs Chelsea
H 40.0%
D 26.0%
A 34.0%
Tottenham Hotspur vs Aston Villa
H 41.8%
D 24.5%
A 33.7%
Brighton & Hove Albion vs Arsenal
H 25.9%
D 25.9%
A 48.2%
Everton vs Ipswich Town
H 49.4%
D 26.2%
A 24.4%
Leeds United vs Crystal Palace
H 52.7%
D 25.1%
A 22.2%
Manchester City vs Sunderland
H 71.8%
D 17.1%
A 11.0%
Newcastle United vs Hull City
H 61.3%
D 22.2%
A 16.5%
Nottingham Forest vs Coventry City
H 61.8%
D 22.8%
A 15.3%
AFC Bournemouth vs Liverpool
H 38.4%
D 26.1%
A 35.4%
Fulham vs Manchester United
H 33.8%
D 25.9%
A 40.3%
MATCHWEEK 5 FAQ
How to read this round
Which is the strongest Matchweek 5 prediction?
Manchester City win is the strongest single 1X2 outcome among the remaining fixtures at 71.8%. That remains a probability, not a guarantee.
How often do the matchweek predictions change?
They are recalculated when verified results, confirmed transfers, official availability information or other material evidence changes the model state.